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Online Grocery Sales in Australia - Market Research Report (2015-2030)

Danny Martin Danny Martin Melbourne, Australia Last Updated: August 2025 ANZSIC OD5527

Revenue

$11.8bn

2025-26

$11.8bn

Past 5-Year Growth

Profit

$XXX.Xm

Employees

29,545

Businesses

949

Wages

$X.Xbn

Online Grocery Sales in Australia industry analysis

Online grocery sales have been ramping up, with the segment now a viable and successful product line for grocery retailers. Improvements to packing logistics, distribution centres, marketing efforts and other operations have supported continued grocery sales growth. Additionally, consumer habits have shifted, with online shopping more prevalent across the whole retail sector and meal kit services remaining popular among those with busy lifestyles. However, physical stores' convenience, lack of delivery fees and perception as better outlets for fresh food have dampened some activity. Online grocery shopping has been both Coles’s and Woolworths' strongest growth channels over the past two years, with Coles seeing a 25.7% jump in sales over the twelve months to March 2025. These trends have since continued to snowball and propelled industry revenue growth to an expected average annual 5.7% over the five years through 2025-26 to $11.8 billion, despite lockdowns five years ago uniquely positioning the benchmark year of 2020-21 as a strong online sales year.

Trends and Insights

  • Online grocers have engaged with consumers to build up service acceptance. Despite shrinking basket sizes and inflation pressures, a larger pool of shoppers has supported industry growth.
  • Online grocery shopping has accelerated among younger generations. Millennials are leading the way in spending, but Generation Z has grown the most proportionally in recent years.
  • Metropolitan areas with high population density allow for faster delivery times. Online stores can weaponise their economies to scale to access a denser market and minimise costs.
  • Online grocery activity is highly concentrated in the two largest chains, Coles and Woolworths. These two companies can leverage extensive supply and distribution networks and significant pools of capital to control the majority of market share.
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The Online Grocery Sales in Australia Industry Report is available in multiple formats to fit seamlessly into your workflow.

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Industry Statistics and Trends

Market size and recent performance (2015-2030)

Industry revenue has grown at a CAGR of 5.7 % over the past five years, to reach an estimated $11.8bn in 2025.

Trends and Insights

Loss-leading is a thing of the past, with online services aiming for sustainable practices

  • As a relatively new offering, this industry has required significant capital investment, with many online grocers taking losses in the past. Amazon's Australian branch had to develop its infrastructure and logistics centres, requiring significant upfront expenses and losses on staple goods to break ground in the market.
  • Additional trends and insights available with purchase
Online Grocery Sales in Australia
Revenue (2015-2030)
IBISWorld Logo Source: IBISWorld

Industry outlook (2025-2030)

Market size is projected to grow over the next five years.

Trends and Insights

Larger online grocers have the capital to invest in their capabilities and networks

  • Online grocers are likely to continue expanding their operations through investment in supply chains and logistical support to improve delivery times and volumes.

Biggest companies in the Online Grocery Sales in Australia

Company
Market Share (%)
2026
Revenue ($m)
2026
Woolworths
6,062.8
Coles Group
4,729.3
HelloFresh Australia
499.0

To view the market share and analysis for all 4 top companies in this industry, view purchase options.

Products & Services Segmentation

Online Grocery Sales in Australia
Products & Services
IBISWorld Logo Source: IBISWorld

Industry revenue is measured across several distinct product and services lines, including Pantry, convenience and frozen foods, Meal kits and Fresh food. Pantry, convenience and frozen foods is the largest segment of the Online Grocery Sales in Australia.

Trends and Insights

Improved delivery times have benefited demand for fresh food

  • The fresh food segment includes meat, fish and fresh produce, like vegetables, fruits and nuts.
  • More insights available in the full report

Table of Contents

About this industry

Industry definition

Companies in the industry sell grocery items online. Industry participants are either online-only retailers or bricks-and-mortar stores with an online presence. Online sales of beer, spirits and wine are excluded from the industry.

What's included in this industry?

Products and services covered in the Online Grocery Sales industry in Australia include Fresh food, Pantry, convenience and frozen foods, Beverages, Non-food products, Dairy and eggs, Delivery and Meal kits.

Companies

Companies covered in the Online Grocery Sales industry in Australia include Woolworths, Coles Group and HelloFresh Australia.

Purchase this report to view all 4 major companies in this industry.

Related Terms

Related terms covered in the Online Grocery Sales industry in Australia include click and collect, dark store, order fulfilment and meal kits.

Industry Code

ANZSIC 2006

ANZSIC 4110 - Online Grocery Sales in Australia

Performance

Get an indication of the industry's health through historical, current and forward-looking trends in the performance indicators that make or break businesses.

Analyst insights

Online grocers have engaged with consumers to build up service acceptance. Despite shrinking basket sizes and inflation pressures, a larger pool of shoppers has supported ind...

In this chapter (4)

  • Current Performance
  • Outlook
  • Volatility
  • Life Cycle

Key metrics

  • Annual Revenue, Recent Growth, Forecast, Revenue Volatility
  • Number of Employees, Recent Growth, Forecast, Employees per Business, Revenue per Employee
  • Number of Businesses, Recent Growth, Forecast, Employees per Business, Revenue per Business
  • Total Profit, Profit Margin, Profit per Business

Charts

  • Revenue, including historical (2015-2024) and forecast (2025-2030)
  • Employees, including historical (2015-2024) and forecast (2025-2030)
  • Businesses, including historical (2015-2024) and forecast (2025-2030)
  • Profit, including historical (2015-2025)
  • Industry Volatility vs. Revenue Growth
  • Industry Life Cycle

Detailed analysis

  • Trends in supply, demand and current events that are driving current industry performance
  • Expected trends, economic factors and ongoing events that drive the industry's outlook
  • Key success factors for businesses to overcome volatility
  • How contribution to GDP, industry saturation, innovation, consolidation, and technology and systems influence the industry's life cycle phase.

Products and Markets

Learn about an industry's products and services, markets and trends in international trade.

Analyst insight

Online grocery shopping has accelerated among younger generations. Millennials are leading the way in spending, but Generation Z has grown the most proportionally in recent y...

In this chapter

  • Products & Services
  • Major Markets

Key metrics

  • Largest market segment and value in 2025
  • Product innovation level

Charts

  • Products & services segmentation in 2025
  • Major market segmentation in 2025

Detailed analysis

  • Trends impacting the recent performance of the industry's various segments
  • Innovations in the industry's product or service offering, specialization or delivery method
  • Key factors that successful businesses consider in their offerings
  • Buying segments and key trends influencing demand for industry products and services

Geographic Breakdown

Discover where business activity is most concentrated in an industry and the factors driving these trends to find opportunities and conduct regional benchmarking.

Analyst insights

Metropolitan areas with high population density allow for faster delivery times. Online stores can weaponise their economies to scale to access a denser market and minimise c...

In this chapter (1)

  • Business Locations

Charts

  • Share of revenue, establishment, wages and employment in each region
  • Share of population compared to establishments in each region in 2025

Tables

  • Number and share of establishments in each region in 2025
  • Number and share of revenue each region accounts for in 2025
  • Number and share of wages each region accounts for in 2025
  • Number and share of employees in each region in 2025

Detailed analysis

  • Geographic spread of the industry across Asia Pacific, and trends associated with changes in the business landscape
  • Key success factors for businesses to use location to their advantage

Competitive Forces

Get data and insights on what's driving competition in an industry and the challenges industry operators and new entrants may face, with analysis built around Porter's Five Forces framework.

Analyst insights

Online grocery activity is highly concentrated in the two largest chains, Coles and Woolworths. These two companies can leverage extensive supply and distribution networks an...

In this chapter (4)

  • Concentration
  • Barriers to Entry
  • Substitutes
  • Buyer & Supplier Analysis

Key metrics

  • Industry concentration level
  • Industry competition level and trend
  • Barriers to entry level and trend
  • Substitutes level and trend
  • Buyer power level and trend
  • Supplier power level and trend

Charts

  • Market share concentration among the top 4 suppliers from 2020-2025
  • Supply chain including upstream supplying industries and downstream buying industries, flow chart

Detailed analysis

  • Factors impacting the industry’s level of concentration, such as business distribution, new entrants, or merger and acquisition activity.
  • Key success factors for businesses to manage the competitive environment of the industry.
  • Challenges that potential industry entrants face such as legal, start-up costs, differentiation, labor/capital intensity and capital expenses.
  • Key success factors for potential entrants to overcome barriers to entry.
  • Competitive threats from potential substitutes for the industry’s own products and services.
  • Key success factors for how successful businesses can compete with substitutes.
  • Advantages that buyers have to keep favorable purchasing conditions.
  • Advantages that suppliers have to maintain favorable selling conditions.
  • Key success factors for how businesses can navigate buyer and supplier power.

Companies

Learn about the performance of the top companies in the industry.

Analyst insights

Woolworths and Coles weaponised their reach to get a head start on online grocery services. Their size and market experience have allowed them to capture a dominant market po...

In this chapter

  • Market Share Concentration
  • Companies
  • Company Spotlights

Charts

  • Industry market share by company in 2021 through 2025
  • Major companies in the industry, including market share, revenue, profit and profit margin in 2025
  • Overview of Woolworths's performance by revenue, market share and profit margin from 2019 through 2025
  • Overview of Coles Group's performance by revenue, market share and profit margin from 2019 through 2025
  • Overview of HelloFresh Australia's performance by revenue, market share and profit margin from 2019 through 2025
  • Overview of revenue, market share and profit margin trend for one additional company

Detailed analysis

  • Description and key data for Woolworths, and factors influencing its performance in the industry
  • Description and key data for Coles Group, and factors influencing its performance in the industry
  • Description and key data for HelloFresh Australia, and factors influencing its performance in the industry
  • Description, key data and performance trends for one additional company

External Environment

Understand the demographic, economic and regulatory factors that shape how businesses in an industry perform.   

Analyst insights

Cost-of-living pressures have dampened consumer sentiment. However, recent cash rate cuts have slightly offset this trend. Online grocers have passed on costs, diminishing ba...

In this chapter

  • External Drivers
  • Regulation & Policy
  • Assistance

Key metrics

  • Regulation & policy level and trend
  • Assistance level and trend

Charts

  • Regulation & Policy historical data and forecast (2015-2030) 
  • Assistance historical data and forecast (2015-2030) 

Detailed analysis

  • Demographic and macroeconomic factors influencing the industry, including Regulation & Policy and Assistance
  • Major types of regulations, regulatory bodies, industry standards or specific regulations impacting requirements for industry operators
  • Key governmental and non-governmental groups or policies that may provide some relief for industry operators.

Financial Benchmarks

View average costs for industry operators and compare financial data against an industry's financial benchmarks over time. 

Analyst insights

Increased adoption of online grocery shopping has led to greater sustainability. Pre-pandemic, many online grocers operated at a loss. Growing online sales volumes have made ...

In this chapter

  • Cost Structure
  • Financial Ratios
  • Key Ratios

Key metrics

  • Profit margin, and how it compares to the sector-wide margin
  • Average wages, and how it compares to the sector-wide average wage
  • Largest cost component as a percentage of revenue
  • Industry average ratios for days' receivables, industry coverage and debt-to-net-worth ratio

Charts

  • Average industry operating costs as a share of revenue, including purchases, wages, depreciation, utilities, rent, other costs and profit in 2025
  • Average sector operating costs as a share of revenue, including purchases, wages, depreciation, utilities, rent, other costs and profit in 2025
  • Investment vs. share of economy

Data tables

  • Cash Flow & Debt Service Ratios (2015-2030)
  • Revenue per Employee (2015-2030)
  • Revenue per Enterprise (2015-2030)
  • Employees per Establishment (2015-2030)
  • Employees per Enterprise (2015-2030)
  • Average Wage (2015-2030)
  • Wages/Revenue (2015-2030)
  • Establishments per Enterprise (2015-2030)
  • IVA/Revenue (2015-2030)
  • Imports/Demand (2015-2030)
  • Exports/Revenue (2015-2030)

Detailed analysis

  • Trends in the cost component for industry operators and their impact on industry costs and profitability 

Key Statistics

Industry Data

Data Tables

Including values and annual change:

  • Revenue (2015-2030)
  • IVA (2015-2030)
  • Establishments (2015-2030)
  • Enterprises (2015-2030)
  • Employment (2015-2030)
  • Exports (2015-2030)
  • Imports (2015-2030)
  • Wages (2015-2030)

Top Questions Answered

Unlock comprehensive answers and precise data upon purchase. View purchase options.

What is the market size of the Online Grocery Sales industry in Australia in 2025?

The market size of the Online Grocery Sales industry in Australia is $11.8bn in 2025.

How many businesses are there in the Online Grocery Sales industry in Australia in 2025?

There are 949 businesses in the Online Grocery Sales industry in Australia, which has grown at a CAGR of 5.3 % between 2020 and 2025.

How may import tariffs affect the Online Grocery Sales industry in Australia?

The Online Grocery Sales industry in Australia is unlikely to be materially impacted by import tariffs with imports accounting for a low share of industry revenue.

How may export tariffs affect the Online Grocery Sales industry in Australia?

The Online Grocery Sales industry in Australia is unlikely to be materially impacted by export tariffs with exports accounting for a low share of industry revenue.

Has the Online Grocery Sales industry in Australia grown or declined over the past 5 years?

The market size of the Online Grocery Sales industry in Australia has been growing at a CAGR of 5.7 % between 2020 and 2025.

What is the forecast growth of the Online Grocery Sales industry in Australia over the next 5 years?

Over the next five years, the Online Grocery Sales industry in Australia is expected to grow.

What are the biggest companies in the Online Grocery Sales industry in Australia?

The biggest companies operating in the Online Grocery Sales industry in Australia are Woolworths, Coles Group and HelloFresh Australia

What does the Online Grocery Sales industry in Australia include?

Fresh food and Pantry, convenience and frozen foods are part of the Online Grocery Sales industry in Australia.

Which companies have the highest market share in the Online Grocery Sales industry in Australia?

The company holding the most market share in the Online Grocery Sales industry in Australia is Woolworths.

How competitive is the Online Grocery Sales industry in Australia?

The level of competition is high and increasing in the Online Grocery Sales industry in Australia.

Methodology

How are IBISWorld reports created?

IBISWorld has been a leading provider of trusted industry research for over 50 years to the most successful companies worldwide. With offices in Australia, the United States, the United Kingdom, Germany and China, we are proud to have local teams of analysts that conduct research, data analysis and forecasting to produce data-driven industry reports.

Our analysts start with official, verified and publicly available sources of data to build the most accurate picture of each industry. Analysts then leverage their expertise and knowledge of the local markets to synthesize trends into digestible content for IBISWorld readers. Finally, each report is reviewed by one of IBISWorld’s editors, who provide quality assurance to ensure accuracy and readability.

IBISWorld relies on human-verified data and human-written analysis to compile each standard industry report. We do not use generative AI tools to write insights, although members can choose to leverage AI-based tools within the platform to generate additional analysis formats.

What data sources do IBISWorld analysts use?

Each industry report incorporates data and research from government databases, industry-specific sources, industry contacts, and our own proprietary database of statistics and analysis to provide balanced, independent and accurate insights.

Key data sources in Australia include:

  • Australian Bureau of Statistics
  • Australian Taxation Office
  • Australian Securities & Investments Commission

Analysts also use industry specific sources to complement catch-all sources, although their perspective may focus on a particular organization or representative body, rather than a clear overview of all industry operations. However, when balanced against other perspectives, industry-specific sources provide insights into industry trends.

These sources include:

  • Industry and trade associations
  • Industry federations or regulators
  • Major industry players annual or quarterly filings

Finally, IBISWorld’s global data scientists maintain a proprietary database of macroeconomic and demand drivers, which our analysts use to help inform industry data and trends. They also maintain a database of statistics and analysis on thousands of industries, which has been built over our more than 50-year history and offers comprehensive insights into long-term trends.

How does IBISWorld forecast its data?

IBISWorld’s analysts and data scientists use the sources above to create forecasts for our proprietary datasets and industry statistics. Depending on the dataset, they may use regression analysis, multivariate analysis, time-series analysis or exponential smoothing techniques to project future data for the industry or driver. Additionally, analysts will leverage their local knowledge of industry operating and regulatory conditions to impart their best judgment on the forecast model.

IBISWorld prides itself on being a trusted, independent source of data, with over 50 years of experience building and maintaining rich datasets and forecasting tools. We are proud to be the keystone source of industry information for thousands of companies across the world.

Learn more about our methodology and data sourcing on the Help Center.

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