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Cotton Farming in the US - Market Research Report (2015-2030)

Vaughan Immerwahr Vaughan Immerwahr New York, United States Last Updated: August 2025 NAICS 11192

Revenue

$5.8bn

2025

$5.8bn

Past 5-Year Growth

Profit

$X.Xbn

Employees

14,532

Businesses

6,069

Wages

$XXX.Xm

Cotton Farming in the US industry analysis

The cotton industry has faced a revenue decline over the current period, driven by global oversupply and weakened demand, with fierce competition from major international producers. Cotton prices have remained low, pressuring industry revenue, which has dropped at a CAGR of 6.9% since 2020 to reach $5.8 billion after growing 7.6% in 2025. Globally, production has continued to expand, leading to record-high stocks, especially in major producing countries like the US, Brazil and China. This oversupply has resulted in volatile markets and intensified global competition, particularly from Brazil, which offers lower-cost cotton. Paired with an appreciated US dollar over the current period, this has posed a strong challenge to US exports and domestic market position.

Trends and Insights

  • Cotton prices are at multi-year lows in 2025 due to global oversupply, challenging US producers. Low prices are reducing revenue, with competition from Brazil and India intensifying the pressures.
  • Cotton farms will face slowing revenue amid falling cotton prices and increased production costs. Tariffs are raising input costs for US farmers, weakening profit and making them less competitive as labor shortages intensify competition with reshored manufacturing jobs.
  • Texas has the highest concentration of cotton farmers since it has lots of arable land and a humid climate. The arid climate in the southwestern part of the state also enables long-staple cotton to be grown in Texas.
  • The consolidation of suppliers in seeds and fertilizers restricts farmers' ability to negotiate prices or terms. With few alternatives, cotton growers are often forced to absorb spikes in input costs.
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Industry Statistics and Trends

Market size and recent performance (2015-2030)

Industry revenue has declined at a CAGR of 6.9 % over the past five years, to reach an estimated $5.8bn in 2025.

Trends and Insights

Global oversupply and weak demand depress cotton prices

  • Cotton prices have remained persistently low throughout 2025, with futures trading near multi-year lows as noted by the USDA's cotton market outlook. This downward pressure is driven by a continued global oversupply: world cotton production in 2024/25 is projected to reach 120.5 million bales, outpacing mill use and pushing global ending stocks to 78.3 million bales, their highest level in five years. Major producers like the US, Brazil and China have all increased stocks, while weather improvements in the US have led to higher-than-expected yields.
  • Additional trends and insights available with purchase
Cotton Farming in the US
Revenue (2015-2030)
IBISWorld Logo Source: IBISWorld

Industry outlook (2025-2030)

Market size is projected to grow over the next five years.

Trends and Insights

Cotton prices will stay subdued as production and stocks rise

  • Between 2025 and 2030, global cotton production is projected to expand steadily, tracking modest growth in mill use. The USDA forecasts US cotton production to expand by 11.8% between the 2024/25 and 2025/26 marketing years, then by 2.6% through 2030/31. World production is projected by Texas A&M to grow by 8.6% between 2025/26 and 2030/31. Major producers are maintaining or increasing output as a result of ongoing investments in improved seed genetics, precision agriculture and farm mechanization. These advances are boosting yields and making cotton farming more efficient, even in the face of challenging market conditions.

Biggest companies in the Cotton Farming in the US

Company
Market Share (%)
2025
Revenue
2025
Profit
2025
Profit Margin (%)
2025

There are no companies that hold a market share exceeding 5% in the Cotton Farming in the US industry.

Products & Services Segmentation

Cotton Farming in the US
Products & Services
IBISWorld Logo Source: IBISWorld

Industry revenue is measured across several distinct product and services lines, including Upland cotton lint, Long staple cotton lint and Cottonseed. Upland cotton lint is the largest segment of the Cotton Farming in the US.

Trends and Insights

Upland cotton production is on the rise despite low yields and limited mill demand

  • Upland cotton is the most widely grown cotton type in the US. It's primarily processed by gins to separate fiber from seed.
  • More insights available in the full report

Table of Contents

About this industry

Industry definition

Farms in this industry primarily grow cotton, typically used in textile manufacturing, while the plant’s cottonseed is exploited for its oil and used in some livestock feeds. Much of the cotton produced domestically is exported.

What's included in this industry?

Products and services covered in the Cotton Farming industry in the United States include Upland cotton farming, Long staple cotton farming and Cottonseed production.

Companies

Companies covered in the Cotton Farming industry in the United States include .

Purchase this report to view all major companies in this industry.

Related Terms

Related terms covered in the Cotton Farming industry in the United States include american upland, american pima, staple, genetically modified (gm), cooperative (co-op), ginning and herbicide.

Industry Code

NAICS 2017

NAICS 11192 - Cotton Farming in the US

Performance

Get an indication of the industry's health through historical, current and forward-looking trends in the performance indicators that make or break businesses.

Analyst insights

Cotton prices are at multi-year lows in 2025 due to global oversupply, challenging US producers. Low prices are reducing revenue, with competition from Brazil and India inten...

In this chapter (4)

  • Current Performance
  • Outlook
  • Volatility
  • Life Cycle

Key metrics

  • Annual Revenue, Recent Growth, Forecast, Revenue Volatility
  • Number of Employees, Recent Growth, Forecast, Employees per Business, Revenue per Employee
  • Number of Businesses, Recent Growth, Forecast, Employees per Business, Revenue per Business
  • Total Profit, Profit Margin, Profit per Business

Charts

  • Revenue, including historical (2015-2024) and forecast (2025-2030)
  • Employees, including historical (2015-2024) and forecast (2025-2030)
  • Businesses, including historical (2015-2024) and forecast (2025-2030)
  • Profit, including historical (2015-2025)
  • Industry Volatility vs. Revenue Growth
  • Industry Life Cycle

Detailed analysis

  • Trends in supply, demand and current events that are driving current industry performance
  • Expected trends, economic factors and ongoing events that drive the industry's outlook
  • Key success factors for businesses to overcome volatility
  • How contribution to GDP, industry saturation, innovation, consolidation, and technology and systems influence the industry's life cycle phase.

Products and Markets

Learn about an industry's products and services, markets and trends in international trade.

Analyst insight

Cotton farms will face slowing revenue amid falling cotton prices and increased production costs. Tariffs are raising input costs for US farmers, weakening profit and making ...

In this chapter

  • Products & Services
  • Major Markets
  • International Trade

Key metrics

  • Largest market segment and value in 2025
  • Product innovation level
  • Total imports, level and trend
  • Total exports, level and trend
  • Trade Balance

Charts

  • Products & services segmentation in 2025
  • Major market segmentation in 2025
  • International trade, including imports by country and exports by country

Detailed analysis

  • Trends impacting the recent performance of the industry's various segments
  • Innovations in the industry's product or service offering, specialization or delivery method
  • Key factors that successful businesses consider in their offerings
  • Buying segments and key trends influencing demand for industry products and services
  • Recent trends in import and export volumes, country of origin or destination, and expected future trends

Geographic Breakdown

Discover where business activity is most concentrated in an industry and the factors driving these trends to find opportunities and conduct regional benchmarking.

Analyst insights

Texas has the highest concentration of cotton farmers since it has lots of arable land and a humid climate. The arid climate in the southwestern part of the state also enable...

In this chapter (1)

  • Business Locations

Charts

  • Share of revenue, establishment, wages and employment in each state
  • Share of population compared to establishments in each region in 2025

Tables

  • Number and share of establishments in each state in 2025
  • Number and share of revenue each state accounts for in 2025
  • Number and share of wages each state accounts for in 2025
  • Number and share of employees in each state in 2025

Detailed analysis

  • Geographic spread of the industry across North America, and trends associated with changes in the business landscape
  • Key success factors for businesses to use location to their advantage

Competitive Forces

Get data and insights on what's driving competition in an industry and the challenges industry operators and new entrants may face, with analysis built around Porter's Five Forces framework.

Analyst insights

The consolidation of suppliers in seeds and fertilizers restricts farmers' ability to negotiate prices or terms. With few alternatives, cotton growers are often forced to abs...

In this chapter (4)

  • Concentration
  • Barriers to Entry
  • Substitutes
  • Buyer & Supplier Analysis

Key metrics

  • Industry concentration level
  • Industry competition level and trend
  • Barriers to entry level and trend
  • Substitutes level and trend
  • Buyer power level and trend
  • Supplier power level and trend

Charts

  • Market share concentration among the top 4 suppliers from 2020-2025
  • Supply chain including upstream supplying industries and downstream buying industries, flow chart

Detailed analysis

  • Factors impacting the industry’s level of concentration, such as business distribution, new entrants, or merger and acquisition activity.
  • Key success factors for businesses to manage the competitive environment of the industry.
  • Challenges that potential industry entrants face such as legal, start-up costs, differentiation, labor/capital intensity and capital expenses.
  • Key success factors for potential entrants to overcome barriers to entry.
  • Competitive threats from potential substitutes for the industry’s own products and services.
  • Key success factors for how successful businesses can compete with substitutes.
  • Advantages that buyers have to keep favorable purchasing conditions.
  • Advantages that suppliers have to maintain favorable selling conditions.
  • Key success factors for how businesses can navigate buyer and supplier power.

Companies

There are no companies that hold a market share exceeding 5% in the Cotton Farming in the US industry.

Analyst insights

The cotton industry lacks major players and remains highly fragmented and regional. Many farmers participate in cooperatives, pooling resources and maximizing market access w...

External Environment

Understand the demographic, economic and regulatory factors that shape how businesses in an industry perform.   

Analyst insights

Subsidies, like those from the USDA's Farm Bill, provide essential financial support to cotton farmers facing rising costs. Without these programs, many producers would strug...

In this chapter

  • External Drivers
  • Regulation & Policy
  • Assistance

Key metrics

  • Regulation & policy level and trend
  • Assistance level and trend

Charts

  • Regulation & Policy historical data and forecast (2015-2030) 
  • Assistance historical data and forecast (2015-2030) 

Detailed analysis

  • Demographic and macroeconomic factors influencing the industry, including Regulation & Policy and Assistance
  • Major types of regulations, regulatory bodies, industry standards or specific regulations impacting requirements for industry operators
  • Key governmental and non-governmental groups or policies that may provide some relief for industry operators.

Financial Benchmarks

View average costs for industry operators and compare financial data against an industry's financial benchmarks over time. 

Analyst insights

Water and energy costs continue to rise, driven by scarcity and aging infrastructure. Cotton farming's irrigation needs make it particularly vulnerable to utility expense inc...

In this chapter

  • Cost Structure
  • Financial Ratios
  • Key Ratios

Key metrics

  • Profit margin, and how it compares to the sector-wide margin
  • Average wages, and how it compares to the sector-wide average wage
  • Largest cost component as a percentage of revenue
  • Industry average ratios for days' receivables, industry coverage and debt-to-net-worth ratio

Charts

  • Average industry operating costs as a share of revenue, including purchases, wages, depreciation, utilities, rent, other costs and profit in 2025
  • Average sector operating costs as a share of revenue, including purchases, wages, depreciation, utilities, rent, other costs and profit in 2025
  • Investment vs. share of economy

Data tables

  • Industry Multiples (2018-2023)
  • Industry Tax Structure (2018-2023)
  • Income Statement (2018-2023)
  • Balance Sheet (2018-2023)
  • Liquidity Ratios (2018-2023)
  • Coverage Ratios (2018-2023)
  • Leverage Ratios  (2018-2023)
  • Operating Ratios (2018-2023)
  • Cash Flow & Debt Service Ratios (2015-2030)
  • Revenue per Employee (2015-2030)
  • Revenue per Enterprise (2015-2030)
  • Employees per Establishment (2015-2030)
  • Employees per Enterprise (2015-2030)
  • Average Wage (2015-2030)
  • Wages/Revenue (2015-2030)
  • Establishments per Enterprise (2015-2030)
  • IVA/Revenue (2015-2030)
  • Imports/Demand (2015-2030)
  • Exports/Revenue (2015-2030)

Detailed analysis

  • Trends in the cost component for industry operators and their impact on industry costs and profitability 

Key Statistics

Industry Data

Data Tables

Including values and annual change:

  • Revenue (2015-2030)
  • IVA (2015-2030)
  • Establishments (2015-2030)
  • Enterprises (2015-2030)
  • Employment (2015-2030)
  • Exports (2015-2030)
  • Imports (2015-2030)
  • Wages (2015-2030)

Top Questions Answered

Unlock comprehensive answers and precise data upon purchase. View purchase options.

What is the market size of the Cotton Farming industry in the United States in 2025?

The market size of the Cotton Farming industry in the United States is $5.8bn in 2025.

How many businesses are there in the Cotton Farming industry in the United States in 2025?

There are 6,069 businesses in the Cotton Farming industry in the United States, which has declined at a CAGR of 5.9 % between 2020 and 2025.

How may import tariffs affect the Cotton Farming industry in the United States?

The Cotton Farming industry in the United States is likely to be impacted by import tariffs with imports accounting for a moderate share of industry revenue.

How may export tariffs affect the Cotton Farming industry in the United States?

The Cotton Farming industry in the United States is likely to be significantly impacted by export tariffs with exports accounting for a high share of industry revenue.

Has the Cotton Farming industry in the United States grown or declined over the past 5 years?

The market size of the Cotton Farming industry in the United States has been declining at a CAGR of 6.9 % between 2020 and 2025.

What is the forecast growth of the Cotton Farming industry in the United States over the next 5 years?

Over the next five years, the Cotton Farming industry in the United States is expected to grow.

What does the Cotton Farming industry in the United States include?

Upland cotton farming and Long staple cotton farming are part of the Cotton Farming industry in the United States.

How competitive is the Cotton Farming industry in the United States?

The level of competition is high and steady in the Cotton Farming industry in the United States.

Methodology

How are IBISWorld reports created?

IBISWorld has been a leading provider of trusted industry research for over 50 years to the most successful companies worldwide. With offices in Australia, the United States, the United Kingdom, Germany and China, we are proud to have local teams of analysts that conduct research, data analysis and forecasting to produce data-driven industry reports.

Our analysts start with official, verified and publicly available sources of data to build the most accurate picture of each industry. Analysts then leverage their expertise and knowledge of the local markets to synthesize trends into digestible content for IBISWorld readers. Finally, each report is reviewed by one of IBISWorld’s editors, who provide quality assurance to ensure accuracy and readability.

IBISWorld relies on human-verified data and human-written analysis to compile each standard industry report. We do not use generative AI tools to write insights, although members can choose to leverage AI-based tools within the platform to generate additional analysis formats.

What data sources do IBISWorld analysts use?

Each industry report incorporates data and research from government databases, industry-specific sources, industry contacts, and our own proprietary database of statistics and analysis to provide balanced, independent and accurate insights.

Key data sources in the US include: 

  • US Census Bureau
  • US Bureau of Labor Statistics
  • US International Trade Commission

Analysts also use industry specific sources to complement catch-all sources, although their perspective may focus on a particular organization or representative body, rather than a clear overview of all industry operations. However, when balanced against other perspectives, industry-specific sources provide insights into industry trends.

These sources include:

  • Industry and trade associations
  • Industry federations or regulators
  • Major industry players annual or quarterly filings

Finally, IBISWorld’s global data scientists maintain a proprietary database of macroeconomic and demand drivers, which our analysts use to help inform industry data and trends. They also maintain a database of statistics and analysis on thousands of industries, which has been built over our more than 50-year history and offers comprehensive insights into long-term trends.

How does IBISWorld forecast its data?

IBISWorld’s analysts and data scientists use the sources above to create forecasts for our proprietary datasets and industry statistics. Depending on the dataset, they may use regression analysis, multivariate analysis, time-series analysis or exponential smoothing techniques to project future data for the industry or driver. Additionally, analysts will leverage their local knowledge of industry operating and regulatory conditions to impart their best judgment on the forecast model.

IBISWorld prides itself on being a trusted, independent source of data, with over 50 years of experience building and maintaining rich datasets and forecasting tools. We are proud to be the keystone source of industry information for thousands of companies across the world.

Learn more about our methodology and data sourcing on the Help Center.

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