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Ethanol Fuel Production in Australia - Market Research Report (2014-2029)

Anthony Kelly Anthony Kelly Melbourne, Australia Last Updated: February 2024 ANZSIC OD5088

Revenue

$164.0m

2024-25

$162.0m

Past 5-Year Growth

Profit

$X.Xm

Employees

157

Businesses

3

Wages

$XX.Xm

Ethanol Fuel Production in Australia industry analysis

The Ethanol Fuel Production industry is struggling to maintain market share as volatile crude oil prices and weaker local petroleum refining squeezes ethanol-blended fuel’s (EBF’s) cost competitiveness. Government assistance has underpinned the industry over the past decade, despite the winding back of the Federal Government's excise fuel subsidy dampening the industry's performance. Ethanol fuel producers continue to benefit from state government regulations in New South Wales and Queensland that mandate the targeted share of EBF sold by the larger petrol stations.

Trends and Insights

  • The COVID-19 pandemic led to severe travel restrictions that contributed to substantial reductions in petroleum and ethanol-based fuel consumption. An upswing in total fuel consumption in recent years has yet to translate into increased EBF sales.
  • The industry's largest player, Manildra Group, produces pure ethanol using wheat starch as feedstock. This is a by-product of the company's wheat processing facilities.
  • The dominant source of ethanol fuel production in New South Wales is Manildra Group (Cajosa Pty Ltd), which uses wheat starch as its primary feedstock. The government's ethanol fuel mandate underpins the industry's performance in New South Wales.
  • Competition is mainly based on price. The two producers of pure ethanol, Manildra and Wilmar, compete to be the lowest cost producer.

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  • Market estimates from 2014-2029
  • Critical performance data and rankings
  • Detailed analysis of competitive forces and the external environment
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Industry Statistics and Trends

Market size and recent performance (2014-2029)

Industry revenue has declined at a CAGR of 7.0 % over the past five years, to reach an estimated $164.0m in 2024.

Trends and Insights

Government subsidies drive local production of ethanol-blended fuel (EBF)

  • EBF production and revenue have fallen since a peak in 2010-11, despite ongoing assistance from the Federal, NSW and Queensland governments.
  • Additional trends and insights available with purchase
Ethanol Fuel Production in Australia
Revenue (2014-2029)
IBISWorld Logo Source: IBISWorld

Industry outlook (2024-2029)

Market size is projected to grow over the next five years.

Trends and Insights

Ethanol-blended fuel (EBF) is set to capture a growing share of fuel sales

  • A return to long-term average growth in the number of motor vehicles points to a return to moderate growth in petroleum product sales over the coming years, and EBF is forecast to capture a growing market share.

Biggest companies in the Ethanol Fuel Production in Australia

Company
Market Share (%)
2024
Revenue ($m)
2024
Manildra Group
115.0
Wilmar Sugar
41.0
RaceFuels Pty Ltd
7.2

To view the market share and analysis for all 3 top companies in this industry, view purchase options.

Products & Services Segmentation

Ethanol Fuel Production in Australia
Products & Services
IBISWorld Logo Source: IBISWorld

Industry revenue is measured across several distinct product and services lines, including Ethanol distilled from starch, Ethanol distilled from sugar by-products and Other EBF manufacturing. Ethanol distilled from starch is the largest segment of the Ethanol Fuel Production in Australia.

Trends and Insights

Manildra Group is the largest player and produces ethanol distilled from starch

  • The industry's largest player, Manildra Group (Cajosa Pty Ltd), produces pure ethanol from wheat starch, which is a by-product of its wheat processing facilities in Nowra, NSW.
  • More insights available in the full report

Table of Contents

About this industry

Industry definition

Industry operators produce ethanol fuel. The industry concentrates on non-potable ethanol (ethyl alcohol) that is used as a motor fuel, mainly as a biofuel additive for petrol.

What's included in this industry?

Ethanol distilled from starchEthanol distilled from sugar by-products Other EBF manufacturing

Companies

Manildra GroupWilmar SugarRaceFuels Pty Ltd

Purchase this report to view all 3 major companies in this industry.

Related Terms

ETHANOL-BLENDED FUEL (EBF)REGULAR UNLEADED PETROL (RULP)PREMIUM UNLEADED PETROL (PULP)FEEDSTOCK

Industry Code

ANZSIC 2006

ANZSIC 1812 - Ethanol Fuel Production in Australia

Performance

Get an indication of the industry's health through historical, current and forward-looking trends in the performance indicators that make or break businesses.

Analyst insights

The COVID-19 pandemic led to severe travel restrictions that contributed to substantial reductions in petroleum and ethanol-based fuel consumption. An upswing in total fuel c...

In this chapter (4)

  • Current Performance
  • Outlook
  • Volatility
  • Life Cycle

Key metrics

  • Annual Revenue, Recent Growth, Forecast, Revenue Volatility
  • Number of Employees, Recent Growth, Forecast, Employees per Business, Revenue per Employee
  • Number of Businesses, Recent Growth, Forecast, Employees per Business, Revenue per Business
  • Total Profit, Profit Margin, Profit per Business

Charts

  • Revenue, including historical (2014-2023) and forecast (2024-2029)
  • Employees, including historical (2014-2023) and forecast (2024-2029)
  • Businesses, including historical (2014-2023) and forecast (2024-2029)
  • Profit, including historical (2014-2024)
  • Industry Volatility vs. Revenue Growth
  • Industry Life Cycle

Detailed analysis

  • Trends in supply, demand and current events that are driving current industry performance
  • Expected trends, economic factors and ongoing events that drive the industry's outlook
  • Key success factors for businesses to overcome volatility
  • How contribution to GDP, industry saturation, innovation, consolidation, and technology and systems influence the industry's life cycle phase.

Products and Markets

Learn about an industry's products and services, markets and trends in international trade.

Analyst insight

The industry's largest player, Manildra Group, produces pure ethanol using wheat starch as feedstock. This is a by-product of the company's wheat processing facilities.

In this chapter

  • Products & Services
  • Major Markets

Key metrics

  • Largest market segment and value in 2024
  • Product innovation level

Charts

  • Products & services segmentation in 2024
  • Major market segmentation in 2024

Detailed analysis

  • Trends impacting the recent performance of the industry's various segments
  • Innovations in the industry's product or service offering, specialization or delivery method
  • Key factors that successful businesses consider in their offerings
  • Buying segments and key trends influencing demand for industry products and services

Geographic Breakdown

Discover where business activity is most concentrated in an industry and the factors driving these trends to find opportunities and conduct regional benchmarking.

Analyst insights

The dominant source of ethanol fuel production in New South Wales is Manildra Group (Cajosa Pty Ltd), which uses wheat starch as its primary feedstock. The government's ethan...

In this chapter (1)

  • Business Locations

Charts

  • Share of revenue, establishment, wages and employment in each region
  • Share of population compared to establishments in each region in 2024

Tables

  • Number and share of establishments in each region in 2024
  • Number and share of revenue each region accounts for in 2024
  • Number and share of wages each region accounts for in 2024
  • Number and share of employees in each region in 2024

Detailed analysis

  • Geographic spread of the industry across Asia Pacific, and trends associated with changes in the business landscape
  • Key success factors for businesses to use location to their advantage

Competitive Forces

Get data and insights on what's driving competition in an industry and the challenges industry operators and new entrants may face, with analysis built around Porter's Five Forces framework.

Analyst insights

Competition is mainly based on price. The two producers of pure ethanol, Manildra and Wilmar, compete to be the lowest cost producer.

In this chapter (4)

  • Concentration
  • Barriers to Entry
  • Substitutes
  • Buyer & Supplier Analysis

Key metrics

  • Industry concentration level
  • Industry competition level and trend
  • Barriers to entry level and trend
  • Substitutes level and trend
  • Buyer power level and trend
  • Supplier power level and trend

Charts

  • Market share concentration among the top 4 suppliers from 2019-2024
  • Supply chain including upstream supplying industries and downstream buying industries, flow chart

Detailed analysis

  • Factors impacting the industry’s level of concentration, such as business distribution, new entrants, or merger and acquisition activity.
  • Key success factors for businesses to manage the competitive environment of the industry.
  • Challenges that potential industry entrants face such as legal, start-up costs, differentiation, labor/capital intensity and capital expenses.
  • Key success factors for potential entrants to overcome barriers to entry.
  • Competitive threats from potential substitutes for the industry’s own products and services.
  • Key success factors for how successful businesses can compete with substitutes.
  • Advantages that buyers have to keep favorable purchasing conditions.
  • Advantages that suppliers have to maintain favorable selling conditions.
  • Key success factors for how businesses can navigate buyer and supplier power.

Companies

Learn about the performance of the top companies in the industry.

Analyst insights

Government mandates are supporting ethanol fuel producers. Both Manildra and Wilmar rely heavily on ethanol mandates in New South Wales and Queensland.

In this chapter

  • Market Share Concentration
  • Companies
  • Company Spotlights

Charts

  • Industry market share by company in 2020 through 2024
  • Major companies in the industry, including market share, revenue, profit and profit margin in 2024
  • Overview of Manildra Group's performance by revenue, market share and profit margin from 2018 through 2024
  • Overview of Wilmar Sugar's performance by revenue, market share and profit margin from 2018 through 2024
  • Overview of RaceFuels Pty Ltd's performance by revenue, market share and profit margin from 2018 through 2024

Detailed analysis

  • Description and key data for Manildra Group, and factors influencing its performance in the industry
  • Description and key data for Wilmar Sugar, and factors influencing its performance in the industry
  • Description and key data for RaceFuels Pty Ltd, and factors influencing its performance in the industry

External Environment

Understand the demographic, economic and regulatory factors that shape how businesses in an industry perform.   

Analyst insights

An upwards trend in the number of motor vehicles in Australia underpins ongoing growth in total fuel sales. Increased motor vehicle registrations present an opportunity to bo...

In this chapter

  • External Drivers
  • Regulation & Policy
  • Assistance

Key metrics

  • Regulation & policy level and trend
  • Assistance level and trend

Charts

  • Regulation & Policy historical data and forecast (2014-2029) 
  • Assistance historical data and forecast (2014-2029) 

Detailed analysis

  • Demographic and macroeconomic factors influencing the industry, including Regulation & Policy and Assistance
  • Major types of regulations, regulatory bodies, industry standards or specific regulations impacting requirements for industry operators
  • Key governmental and non-governmental groups or policies that may provide some relief for industry operators.

Financial Benchmarks

View average costs for industry operators and compare financial data against an industry's financial benchmarks over time. 

Analyst insights

Feedstock purchases represent the industry's largest cost. Feedstock purchase costs are rising in response to an upwards trend in the domestic prices of wheat and sugar.

In this chapter

  • Cost Structure
  • Financial Ratios
  • Key Ratios

Key metrics

  • Profit margin, and how it compares to the sector-wide margin
  • Average wages, and how it compares to the sector-wide average wage
  • Largest cost component as a percentage of revenue
  • Industry average ratios for days' receivables, industry coverage and debt-to-net-worth ratio

Charts

  • Average industry operating costs as a share of revenue, including purchases, wages, depreciation, utilities, rent, other costs and profit in 2024
  • Average sector operating costs as a share of revenue, including purchases, wages, depreciation, utilities, rent, other costs and profit in 2024
  • Investment vs. share of economy

Data tables

  • Cash Flow & Debt Service Ratios (2014-2029)
  • Revenue per Employee (2014-2029)
  • Revenue per Enterprise (2014-2029)
  • Employees per Establishment (2014-2029)
  • Employees per Enterprise (2014-2029)
  • Average Wage (2014-2029)
  • Wages/Revenue (2014-2029)
  • Establishments per Enterprise (2014-2029)
  • IVA/Revenue (2014-2029)
  • Imports/Demand (2014-2029)
  • Exports/Revenue (2014-2029)

Detailed analysis

  • Trends in the cost component for industry operators and their impact on industry costs and profitability 

Key Statistics

Industry Data

Data Tables

Including values and annual change:

  • Revenue (2014-2029)
  • IVA (2014-2029)
  • Establishments (2014-2029)
  • Enterprises (2014-2029)
  • Employment (2014-2029)
  • Exports (2014-2029)
  • Imports (2014-2029)
  • Wages (2014-2029)

Top Questions Answered

Unlock comprehensive answers and precise data upon purchase. View purchase options.

What is the market size of the Ethanol Fuel Production industry in Australia in 2024?

The market size of the Ethanol Fuel Production industry in Australia is $164.0m in 2024.

How many businesses are there in the Ethanol Fuel Production in Australia industry in 2024?

There are 3 businesses in the Ethanol Fuel Production industry in Australia, which has declined at a CAGR of 5.6 % between 2019 and 2024.

Has the Ethanol Fuel Production industry in Australia grown or declined over the past 5 years?

The market size of the Ethanol Fuel Production industry in Australia has been declining at a CAGR of 7.0 % between 2019 and 2024.

What is the forecast growth of the Ethanol Fuel Production industry in Australia over the next 5 years?

Over the next five years, the Ethanol Fuel Production industry in Australia is expected to grow.

What are the biggest companies in the Ethanol Fuel Production market in Australia?

The biggest companies operating in the Ethanol Fuel Production market in Australia are Manildra Group, Wilmar Sugar and RaceFuels Pty Ltd

What does the Ethanol Fuel Production in Australia include?

Ethanol distilled from starch and Ethanol distilled from sugar by-products are part of the Ethanol Fuel Production industry.

Which companies have the highest market share in the Ethanol Fuel Production in Australia?

The company holding the most market share in Australia is Manildra Group.

How competitive is the Ethanol Fuel Production industry in Australia?

The level of competition is moderate and increasing in the Ethanol Fuel Production industry in Australia.

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Competitors

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Methodology

How are IBISWorld reports created?

IBISWorld has been a leading provider of trusted industry research for over 50 years to the most successful companies worldwide. With offices in Australia, the United States, the United Kingdom, Germany and China, we are proud to have local teams of analysts that conduct research, data analysis and forecasting to produce data-driven industry reports.

Our analysts start with official, verified and publicly available sources of data to build the most accurate picture of each industry. Analysts then leverage their expertise and knowledge of the local markets to synthesize trends into digestible content for IBISWorld readers. Finally, each report is reviewed by one of IBISWorld’s editors, who provide quality assurance to ensure accuracy and readability.

IBISWorld relies on human-verified data and human-written analysis to compile each standard industry report. We do not use generative AI tools to write insights, although members can choose to leverage AI-based tools within the platform to generate additional analysis formats.

What data sources do IBISWorld analysts use?

Each industry report incorporates data and research from government databases, industry-specific sources, industry contacts, and our own proprietary database of statistics and analysis to provide balanced, independent and accurate insights.

Key data sources in Australia include:

  • Australian Bureau of Statistics
  • Australian Taxation Office
  • Australian Securities & Investments Commission

Analysts also use industry specific sources to complement catch-all sources, although their perspective may focus on a particular organization or representative body, rather than a clear overview of all industry operations. However, when balanced against other perspectives, industry-specific sources provide insights into industry trends.

These sources include:

  • Industry and trade associations
  • Industry federations or regulators
  • Major industry players annual or quarterly filings

Finally, IBISWorld’s global data scientists maintain a proprietary database of macroeconomic and demand drivers, which our analysts use to help inform industry data and trends. They also maintain a database of statistics and analysis on thousands of industries, which has been built over our more than 50-year history and offers comprehensive insights into long-term trends.

How does IBISWorld forecast its data?

IBISWorld’s analysts and data scientists use the sources above to create forecasts for our proprietary datasets and industry statistics. Depending on the dataset, they may use regression analysis, multivariate analysis, time-series analysis or exponential smoothing techniques to project future data for the industry or driver. Additionally, analysts will leverage their local knowledge of industry operating and regulatory conditions to impart their best judgment on the forecast model.

IBISWorld prides itself on being a trusted, independent source of data, with over 50 years of experience building and maintaining rich datasets and forecasting tools. We are proud to be the keystone source of industry information for thousands of companies across the world.

Learn more about our methodology and data sourcing on the Help Center.