Industry Statistics and Trends
Market size and recent performance (2015-2030)
Industry revenue has grown at a CAGR of 2.3 % over the past five years, to reach an estimated $37.2bn in 2025.
Trends and Insights
High interest rates have shifted the industry towards asset quality and operational optimisation
- Since 2023, increases in the cash rate have dramatically reduced new retail property development completions. For 2024 and 2025, the development pipeline is at just 21% of the decade’s average, according to JLL. This has resulted in a supply shortage, pushing national vacancy rates down to 4.7% and driving leading operators, including Scentre Group (99.6% occupancy), Vicinity Centres (99.3%) and GPT Group (98.6%), to near full capacity. The reduction in available space supports stronger rental yields and portfolio stability for well-positioned assets.
- Additional trends and insights available with purchase
Source: IBISWorld
Industry outlook (2025-2030)
Market size is projected to decline over the next five years.
Trends and Insights
Retail property growth will be uneven, with prime locations and resilient segments leading the recovery
- Business confidence is forecast to recover moderately as inflation and pandemic-related headwinds continue to ease. While this is likely to support a rebound in retail construction activity and investment, operators shouldn’t assume that a broad-based uplift will occur across all retail property segments. Instead, growth is set to be concentrated in areas with resilient consumer demand and underlying population increases. As a result, vacancy trends and competition levels will vary across different locations, with premium locations best positioned to benefit due to consistent foot traffic.
Biggest companies in the Retail Property Operators in Australia
| Company | Market Share (%)
2025 | Revenue ($m)
2025 |
|---|---|---|
Scentre | 2,536.3 | |
Vicinity Centres | 1,386.3 | |
Stockland | 947.1 |
To view the market share and analysis for all 4 top companies in this industry, view purchase options.
Products & Services Segmentation
Source: IBISWorld
Industry revenue is measured across several distinct product and services lines, including Regional retail premises, Sub-regional retail premises and Neighbourhood retail premises. Regional retail premises is the largest segment of the Retail Property Operators in Australia.
Trends and Insights
Tenant interest for regional retail premises has waned as online competition accelerates
- Regional premises include large-scale shopping centres that may house one or more supermarkets, one full-line department store and as many as 100 specialty stores. Regional stores tend to serve a distinct geographical location in a town or suburb. Some well-known premises include Chadstone in Melbourne's outer suburbs and Westfield Chermside in Brisbane’s north.
- More insights available in the full report
Table of Contents
About this industry
Industry definition
Retail property managers primarily lease retail property.
What's included in this industry?
Products and services covered in the Retail Property Operators industry in Australia include Regional retail premises, Sub-regional retail premises, Neighbourhood retail premises, Large format retail premises, Strip retail premises, CBD retail premises, Standalone retail premises, Market premises and Outlet premises.Companies
Companies covered in the Retail Property Operators industry in Australia include Scentre, Vicinity Centres and Stockland.Purchase this report to view all 4 major companies in this industry.
Related Terms
Related terms covered in the Retail Property Operators industry in Australia include vacancy rate, fast fashion and anchor tenant.Industry Code
ANZSIC 6712 - Retail Property Operators in Australia
Performance
Get an indication of the industry's health through historical, current and forward-looking trends in the performance indicators that make or break businesses.
Analyst insights
Drops in the cash rate could support retail property operators facing subdued demand. Lower interest rates may encourage spending and expansion, but asset quality, strong anc...
In this chapter (4)
- Current Performance
- Outlook
- Volatility
- Life Cycle
Key metrics
- Annual Revenue, Recent Growth, Forecast, Revenue Volatility
- Number of Employees, Recent Growth, Forecast, Employees per Business, Revenue per Employee
- Number of Businesses, Recent Growth, Forecast, Employees per Business, Revenue per Business
- Total Profit, Profit Margin, Profit per Business
Charts
- Revenue, including historical (2015-2024) and forecast (2025-2030)
- Employees, including historical (2015-2024) and forecast (2025-2030)
- Businesses, including historical (2015-2024) and forecast (2025-2030)
- Profit, including historical (2015-2025)
- Industry Volatility vs. Revenue Growth
- Industry Life Cycle
Detailed analysis
- Trends in supply, demand and current events that are driving current industry performance
- Expected trends, economic factors and ongoing events that drive the industry's outlook
- Key success factors for businesses to overcome volatility
- How contribution to GDP, industry saturation, innovation, consolidation, and technology and systems influence the industry's life cycle phase.
Products and Markets
Learn about an industry's products and services, markets and trends in international trade.
Analyst insight
Many regional shopping centres have been losing tenant demand due to growing competition from online retail. Despite offering diverse amenities and well-known brands, many la...
In this chapter
- Products & Services
- Major Markets
Key metrics
- Largest market segment and value in 2025
- Product innovation level
Charts
- Products & services segmentation in 2025
- Major market segmentation in 2025
Detailed analysis
- Trends impacting the recent performance of the industry's various segments
- Innovations in the industry's product or service offering, specialization or delivery method
- Key factors that successful businesses consider in their offerings
- Buying segments and key trends influencing demand for industry products and services
Geographic Breakdown
Discover where business activity is most concentrated in an industry and the factors driving these trends to find opportunities and conduct regional benchmarking.
Analyst insights
Central business district locations are highly sought after by retail property operators. Properties in these densely populated locations benefit from high foot traffic, enha...
In this chapter (1)
- Business Locations
Charts
- Share of revenue, establishment, wages and employment in each region
- Share of population compared to establishments in each region in 2025
Tables
- Number and share of establishments in each region in 2025
- Number and share of revenue each region accounts for in 2025
- Number and share of wages each region accounts for in 2025
- Number and share of employees in each region in 2025
Detailed analysis
- Geographic spread of the industry across Asia Pacific, and trends associated with changes in the business landscape
- Key success factors for businesses to use location to their advantage
Competitive Forces
Get data and insights on what's driving competition in an industry and the challenges industry operators and new entrants may face, with analysis built around Porter's Five Forces framework.
Analyst insights
The surge in online shopping has diminished interest in retail property spaces. The pandemic boosted online shopping’s popularity at the expense of bricks-and-mortar location...
In this chapter (4)
- Concentration
- Barriers to Entry
- Substitutes
- Buyer & Supplier Analysis
Key metrics
- Industry concentration level
- Industry competition level and trend
- Barriers to entry level and trend
- Substitutes level and trend
- Buyer power level and trend
- Supplier power level and trend
Charts
- Market share concentration among the top 4 suppliers from 2020-2025
- Supply chain including upstream supplying industries and downstream buying industries, flow chart
Detailed analysis
- Factors impacting the industry’s level of concentration, such as business distribution, new entrants, or merger and acquisition activity.
- Key success factors for businesses to manage the competitive environment of the industry.
- Challenges that potential industry entrants face such as legal, start-up costs, differentiation, labor/capital intensity and capital expenses.
- Key success factors for potential entrants to overcome barriers to entry.
- Competitive threats from potential substitutes for the industry’s own products and services.
- Key success factors for how successful businesses can compete with substitutes.
- Advantages that buyers have to keep favorable purchasing conditions.
- Advantages that suppliers have to maintain favorable selling conditions.
- Key success factors for how businesses can navigate buyer and supplier power.
Companies
Learn about the performance of the top companies in the industry.
Analyst insights
Acquisitions are critical for retail property operators to gain and develop an extensive portfolio. As operators acquire and rent out more retail properties, their rental yie...
In this chapter
- Market Share Concentration
- Companies
- Company Spotlights
Charts
- Industry market share by company in 2021 through 2025
- Major companies in the industry, including market share, revenue, profit and profit margin in 2025
- Overview of Scentre's performance by revenue, market share and profit margin from 2019 through 2025
- Overview of Vicinity Centres's performance by revenue, market share and profit margin from 2019 through 2025
- Overview of Stockland's performance by revenue, market share and profit margin from 2019 through 2025
- Overview of revenue, market share and profit margin trend for one additional company
Detailed analysis
- Description and key data for Scentre, and factors influencing its performance in the industry
- Description and key data for Vicinity Centres, and factors influencing its performance in the industry
- Description and key data for Stockland, and factors influencing its performance in the industry
- Description, key data and performance trends for one additional company
External Environment
Understand the demographic, economic and regulatory factors that shape how businesses in an industry perform.
Analyst insights
Booming online shopping activity has lowered foot traffic in bricks-and-mortar retail stores. Online shopping alternatives have reduced tenant interest in retail locations, l...
In this chapter
- External Drivers
- Regulation & Policy
- Assistance
Key metrics
- Regulation & policy level and trend
- Assistance level and trend
Charts
- Regulation & Policy historical data and forecast (2015-2030)
- Assistance historical data and forecast (2015-2030)
Detailed analysis
- Demographic and macroeconomic factors influencing the industry, including Regulation & Policy and Assistance
- Major types of regulations, regulatory bodies, industry standards or specific regulations impacting requirements for industry operators
- Key governmental and non-governmental groups or policies that may provide some relief for industry operators.
Financial Benchmarks
View average costs for industry operators and compare financial data against an industry's financial benchmarks over time.
Analyst insights
Retail property acquisition costs have increased in recent years. These cost increases have occurred in line with rising property prices.
In this chapter
- Cost Structure
- Financial Ratios
- Key Ratios
Key metrics
- Profit margin, and how it compares to the sector-wide margin
- Average wages, and how it compares to the sector-wide average wage
- Largest cost component as a percentage of revenue
- Industry average ratios for days' receivables, industry coverage and debt-to-net-worth ratio
Charts
- Average industry operating costs as a share of revenue, including purchases, wages, depreciation, utilities, rent, other costs and profit in 2025
- Average sector operating costs as a share of revenue, including purchases, wages, depreciation, utilities, rent, other costs and profit in 2025
- Investment vs. share of economy
Data tables
- Cash Flow & Debt Service Ratios (2015-2030)
- Revenue per Employee (2015-2030)
- Revenue per Enterprise (2015-2030)
- Employees per Establishment (2015-2030)
- Employees per Enterprise (2015-2030)
- Average Wage (2015-2030)
- Wages/Revenue (2015-2030)
- Establishments per Enterprise (2015-2030)
- IVA/Revenue (2015-2030)
- Imports/Demand (2015-2030)
- Exports/Revenue (2015-2030)
Detailed analysis
- Trends in the cost component for industry operators and their impact on industry costs and profitability
Key Statistics
Industry Data
Data Tables
Including values and annual change:
- Revenue (2015-2030)
- IVA (2015-2030)
- Establishments (2015-2030)
- Enterprises (2015-2030)
- Employment (2015-2030)
- Exports (2015-2030)
- Imports (2015-2030)
- Wages (2015-2030)
Top Questions Answered
Unlock comprehensive answers and precise data upon purchase. View purchase options.
What is the market size of the Retail Property Operators industry in Australia in 2025?
The market size of the Retail Property Operators industry in Australia is $37.2bn in 2025.
How many businesses are there in the Retail Property Operators industry in Australia in 2025?
There are 61,505 businesses in the Retail Property Operators industry in Australia, which has grown at a CAGR of 3.4 % between 2020 and 2025.
How may import tariffs affect the Retail Property Operators industry in Australia?
The Retail Property Operators industry in Australia is unlikely to be materially impacted by import tariffs with imports accounting for a low share of industry revenue.
How may export tariffs affect the Retail Property Operators industry in Australia?
The Retail Property Operators industry in Australia is unlikely to be materially impacted by export tariffs with exports accounting for a low share of industry revenue.
Has the Retail Property Operators industry in Australia grown or declined over the past 5 years?
The market size of the Retail Property Operators industry in Australia has been growing at a CAGR of 2.3 % between 2020 and 2025.
What is the forecast growth of the Retail Property Operators industry in Australia over the next 5 years?
Over the next five years, the Retail Property Operators industry in Australia is expected to decline.
What are the biggest companies in the Retail Property Operators industry in Australia?
The biggest companies operating in the Retail Property Operators industry in Australia are Scentre, Vicinity Centres and Stockland
What does the Retail Property Operators industry in Australia include?
Regional retail premises and Sub-regional retail premises are part of the Retail Property Operators industry in Australia.
Which companies have the highest market share in the Retail Property Operators industry in Australia?
The company holding the most market share in the Retail Property Operators industry in Australia is Scentre.
How competitive is the Retail Property Operators industry in Australia?
The level of competition is high and increasing in the Retail Property Operators industry in Australia.
Methodology
How are IBISWorld reports created?
IBISWorld has been a leading provider of trusted industry research for over 50 years to the most successful companies worldwide. With offices in Australia, the United States, the United Kingdom, Germany and China, we are proud to have local teams of analysts that conduct research, data analysis and forecasting to produce data-driven industry reports.
Our analysts start with official, verified and publicly available sources of data to build the most accurate picture of each industry. Analysts then leverage their expertise and knowledge of the local markets to synthesize trends into digestible content for IBISWorld readers. Finally, each report is reviewed by one of IBISWorld’s editors, who provide quality assurance to ensure accuracy and readability.
IBISWorld relies on human-verified data and human-written analysis to compile each standard industry report. We do not use generative AI tools to write insights, although members can choose to leverage AI-based tools within the platform to generate additional analysis formats.
What data sources do IBISWorld analysts use?
Each industry report incorporates data and research from government databases, industry-specific sources, industry contacts, and our own proprietary database of statistics and analysis to provide balanced, independent and accurate insights.
Key data sources in Australia include:
- Australian Bureau of Statistics
- Australian Taxation Office
- Australian Securities & Investments Commission
Analysts also use industry specific sources to complement catch-all sources, although their perspective may focus on a particular organization or representative body, rather than a clear overview of all industry operations. However, when balanced against other perspectives, industry-specific sources provide insights into industry trends.
These sources include:
- Industry and trade associations
- Industry federations or regulators
- Major industry players annual or quarterly filings
Finally, IBISWorld’s global data scientists maintain a proprietary database of macroeconomic and demand drivers, which our analysts use to help inform industry data and trends. They also maintain a database of statistics and analysis on thousands of industries, which has been built over our more than 50-year history and offers comprehensive insights into long-term trends.
How does IBISWorld forecast its data?
IBISWorld’s analysts and data scientists use the sources above to create forecasts for our proprietary datasets and industry statistics. Depending on the dataset, they may use regression analysis, multivariate analysis, time-series analysis or exponential smoothing techniques to project future data for the industry or driver. Additionally, analysts will leverage their local knowledge of industry operating and regulatory conditions to impart their best judgment on the forecast model.
IBISWorld prides itself on being a trusted, independent source of data, with over 50 years of experience building and maintaining rich datasets and forecasting tools. We are proud to be the keystone source of industry information for thousands of companies across the world.
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