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Long-Distance Bus & Coach Transport in Germany - Market Research Report (2014-2029)

Veton Hoxhaj Veton Hoxhaj Frankfurt, Germany Last Updated: June 2024 WZ H49.39aDE

Revenue

€2.3bn

2024

€2.3bn

Past 5-Year Growth

Profit

€XX.Xm

Employees

26,039

Businesses

735

Wages

€XXX.Xm

Long-Distance Bus & Coach Transport in Germany industry analysis

In the last five years, intercity routes and long-distance buses have developed differently in their respective segments. Sales in intercity transport have fallen due to declining subsidies and falling passenger numbers. Long-distance bus transport, on the other hand, has experienced a significant upturn since liberalisation in 2013. Liberalisation enabled new players to enter the market and led to more intense competition and a broader range of services. However, the coronavirus pandemic had a significant impact on the industry, with revenue losses in 2020 and 2021 due to operating restrictions and lower demand. Thanks to high government subsidies, however, these losses were partially offset and a complete collapse was prevented.For the current year 2024, the industry is expecting turnover to grow by 1.9% to 2.3 billion euros. The industry will be burdened by the increased price of crude oil as a result of the war in Ukraine and the further decline in subsidies for long-distance transport. Despite these challenges, demand for long-distance coaches remains stable due to booming domestic tourism. This positive trend is underpinned by Germans' increased desire to travel and the rising number of overnight stays in accommodation establishments. The industry is increasingly investing in innovations such as the introduction of electromobility and the development of flexible travel models. These measures should not only help to reduce operating costs, but also promote sustainability and improve the industry's ecological image.Over the next five years, IBISWorld expects average annual growth in industry turnover of 1.2%. By 2029, industry turnover is expected to rise to 2.5 billion euros. However, increasing competition from state-subsidised rail transport, which is benefiting from a significant increase in state funding and subsidies, could have a negative impact on the growth of the long-distance coach market. At the same time, however, considerable investment in alternative fuels and electromobility is expected. These investments should help to reduce operating costs and strengthen the industry's competitiveness. The number of companies and employees is expected to rise above the pre-crisis level of 2019 by 2029, with dynamic growth in the long-distance bus segment in particular likely to make a significant contribution to this.

Trends and Insights

  • Increasing urbanisation means that there are fewer and fewer potential customers for intercity transport. Intercity transport relies on customers in rural areas, where fewer and fewer people live.
  • Overland transport is the most important service for long-distance bus and coach services. The main customers for overland transport are people who live in rural areas. However, as more and more people are migrating from rural areas to the cities, intercity transport is becoming less important.
  • The central region is home to the largest proportion of companies in the sector. However, many sparsely populated areas of North Rhine-Westphalia are cutting back on subsidies for intercity transport.
  • The most important competitor to long-distance bus services is long-distance rail transport. Bus companies have the advantage that they often offer their journeys more cheaply and can adapt the routes individually to demand, as they are not dependent on the rail network.

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  • Critical performance data and rankings
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Industry Statistics and Trends

Market size and recent performance (2014-2029)

Industry revenue has grown at a CAGR of 0.5 % over the past five years, to reach an estimated €2.3bn in 2024.

Trends and Insights

Increasing urbanisation is having a negative impact on overland transport

  • More and more Germans are leaving rural regions and moving to urban centres. This trend is having a negative impact on intercity routes, as they are losing potential passengers. Long-distance buses, on the other hand, can benefit from urbanisation as they gain more passengers due to the increased population density in cities.
  • Additional trends and insights available with purchase
Long-Distance Bus & Coach Transport in Germany
Revenue (2014-2029)
IBISWorld Logo Source: IBISWorld

Industry outlook (2024-2029)

Market size is projected to grow over the next five years.

Trends and Insights

Long-distance coaches have sustainable potential for success in terms of flexibility and the expansion of intermodality

  • The long-distance coach market has developed strongly since liberalisation in 2013. Long-distance coaches are cheaper than trains, but slower. The increasing competition from low-cost providers in long-distance rail transport therefore poses a threat to long-distance coaches.

Biggest companies in the Long-Distance Bus & Coach Transport in Germany

Company
Market Share (%)
2024
Revenue (€m)
2024
Flix SE
295.0
AutobusOberbayern GmbH
71.0
Anton Graf GmbH
21.1

To view the market share and analysis for all 4 top companies in this industry, view purchase options.

Products & Services Segmentation

Long-Distance Bus & Coach Transport in Germany
Products & Services
IBISWorld Logo Source: IBISWorld

Industry revenue is measured across several distinct product and services lines, including Intercity transport, Long-distance buses and Airport shuttles. Intercity transport is the largest segment of the Long-Distance Bus & Coach Transport in Germany.

Trends and Insights

Interurban transport is suffering from the migration of young people to the cities

  • Rural transport, which accounts for the largest share of the sector's turnover, is suffering from a steady decline in demand due to the migration of young, well-educated people from rural areas to the cities, as there are fewer potential customers in rural areas.
  • More insights available in the full report

Table of Contents

About this industry

Industry definition

The industry comprises the operation of intercity routes and long-distance buses. The industry also includes shuttle buses that travel to airports, provided they cover routes that go beyond local transport.

What's included in this industry?

Intercity transportLong-distance busesAirport shuttles

Companies

Flix SEAutobusOberbayern GmbHAnton Graf GmbH

Purchase this report to view all 4 major companies in this industry.

Related Terms

LOCAL PUBLIC TRANSPORT (PUBLIC TRANSPORT)INTERMODALITYOVERLAND LINES

Industry Code

WZ 2008

WZ 49.39.1 - Long-Distance Bus & Coach Transport in Germany

Performance

Get an indication of the industry's health through historical, current and forward-looking trends in the performance indicators that make or break businesses.

Analyst insights

Increasing urbanisation means that there are fewer and fewer potential customers for intercity transport. Intercity transport relies on customers in rural areas, where fewer ...

In this chapter (4)

  • Current Performance
  • Outlook
  • Volatility
  • Life Cycle

Key metrics

  • Annual Revenue, Recent Growth, Forecast, Revenue Volatility
  • Number of Employees, Recent Growth, Forecast, Employees per Business, Revenue per Employee
  • Number of Businesses, Recent Growth, Forecast, Employees per Business, Revenue per Business
  • Total Profit, Profit Margin, Profit per Business

Charts

  • Revenue, including historical (2014-2023) and forecast (2024-2029)
  • Employees, including historical (2014-2023) and forecast (2024-2029)
  • Businesses, including historical (2014-2023) and forecast (2024-2029)
  • Profit, including historical (2014-2024)
  • Industry Volatility vs. Revenue Growth
  • Industry Life Cycle

Detailed analysis

  • Trends in supply, demand and current events that are driving current industry performance
  • Expected trends, economic factors and ongoing events that drive the industry's outlook
  • Key success factors for businesses to overcome volatility
  • How contribution to GDP, industry saturation, innovation, consolidation, and technology and systems influence the industry's life cycle phase.

Products and Markets

Learn about an industry's products and services, markets and trends in international trade.

Analyst insight

Overland transport is the most important service for long-distance bus and coach services. The main customers for overland transport are people who live in rural areas. Howev...

In this chapter

  • Products & Services
  • Major Markets

Key metrics

  • Largest market segment and value in 2024
  • Product innovation level

Charts

  • Products & services segmentation in 2024
  • Major market segmentation in 2024

Detailed analysis

  • Trends impacting the recent performance of the industry's various segments
  • Innovations in the industry's product or service offering, specialization or delivery method
  • Key factors that successful businesses consider in their offerings
  • Buying segments and key trends influencing demand for industry products and services

Geographic Breakdown

Discover where business activity is most concentrated in an industry and the factors driving these trends to find opportunities and conduct regional benchmarking.

Analyst insights

The central region is home to the largest proportion of companies in the sector. However, many sparsely populated areas of North Rhine-Westphalia are cutting back on subsidie...

In this chapter (1)

  • Business Locations

Charts

  • Share of revenue, establishment, wages and employment in each region
  • Share of population compared to establishments in each region in 2024

Tables

  • Number and share of establishments in each region in 2024
  • Number and share of revenue each region accounts for in 2024
  • Number and share of wages each region accounts for in 2024
  • Number and share of employees in each region in 2024

Detailed analysis

  • Geographic spread of the industry across Europe, and trends associated with changes in the business landscape
  • Key success factors for businesses to use location to their advantage

Competitive Forces

Get data and insights on what's driving competition in an industry and the challenges industry operators and new entrants may face, with analysis built around Porter's Five Forces framework.

Analyst insights

The most important competitor to long-distance bus services is long-distance rail transport. Bus companies have the advantage that they often offer their journeys more cheapl...

In this chapter (4)

  • Concentration
  • Barriers to Entry
  • Substitutes
  • Buyer & Supplier Analysis

Key metrics

  • Industry concentration level
  • Industry competition level and trend
  • Barriers to entry level and trend
  • Substitutes level and trend
  • Buyer power level and trend
  • Supplier power level and trend

Charts

  • Market share concentration among the top 4 suppliers from 2019-2024
  • Supply chain including upstream supplying industries and downstream buying industries, flow chart

Detailed analysis

  • Factors impacting the industry’s level of concentration, such as business distribution, new entrants, or merger and acquisition activity.
  • Key success factors for businesses to manage the competitive environment of the industry.
  • Challenges that potential industry entrants face such as legal, start-up costs, differentiation, labor/capital intensity and capital expenses.
  • Key success factors for potential entrants to overcome barriers to entry.
  • Competitive threats from potential substitutes for the industry’s own products and services.
  • Key success factors for how successful businesses can compete with substitutes.
  • Advantages that buyers have to keep favorable purchasing conditions.
  • Advantages that suppliers have to maintain favorable selling conditions.
  • Key success factors for how businesses can navigate buyer and supplier power.

Companies

Learn about the performance of the top companies in the industry.

Analyst insights

Thanks to numerous takeovers, Flix SE has become the European market leader in the long-distance bus market. As a result, FlixBus has hardly any significant competitors withi...

In this chapter

  • Market Share Concentration
  • Companies
  • Company Spotlights

Charts

  • Industry market share by company in 2020 through 2024
  • Major companies in the industry, including market share, revenue, profit and profit margin in 2024
  • Overview of Flix SE's performance by revenue, market share and profit margin from 2018 through 2024
  • Overview of AutobusOberbayern GmbH's performance by revenue, market share and profit margin from 2018 through 2024
  • Overview of Anton Graf GmbH's performance by revenue, market share and profit margin from 2018 through 2024
  • Overview of revenue, market share and profit margin trend for one additional company

Detailed analysis

  • Description and key data for Flix SE, and factors influencing its performance in the industry
  • Description and key data for AutobusOberbayern GmbH, and factors influencing its performance in the industry
  • Description and key data for Anton Graf GmbH, and factors influencing its performance in the industry
  • Description, key data and performance trends for one additional company

External Environment

Understand the demographic, economic and regulatory factors that shape how businesses in an industry perform.   

Analyst insights

The number of registered cars provides an indication of how much demand there is for bus journeys. If the number of registered cars increases, consumers tend to use their own...

In this chapter

  • External Drivers
  • Regulation & Policy
  • Assistance

Key metrics

  • Regulation & policy level and trend
  • Assistance level and trend

Charts

  • Regulation & Policy historical data and forecast (2014-2029) 
  • Assistance historical data and forecast (2014-2029) 

Detailed analysis

  • Demographic and macroeconomic factors influencing the industry, including Regulation & Policy and Assistance
  • Major types of regulations, regulatory bodies, industry standards or specific regulations impacting requirements for industry operators
  • Key governmental and non-governmental groups or policies that may provide some relief for industry operators.

Financial Benchmarks

View average costs for industry operators and compare financial data against an industry's financial benchmarks over time. 

Analyst insights

The industry achieves a very low profit margin in most years. Overland lines are heavily dependent on subsidies and the current high price of crude oil is also affecting the ...

In this chapter

  • Cost Structure
  • Financial Ratios
  • Key Ratios

Key metrics

  • Profit margin, and how it compares to the sector-wide margin
  • Average wages, and how it compares to the sector-wide average wage
  • Largest cost component as a percentage of revenue
  • Industry average ratios for days' receivables, industry coverage and debt-to-net-worth ratio

Charts

  • Average industry operating costs as a share of revenue, including purchases, wages, depreciation, utilities, rent, other costs and profit in 2024
  • Average sector operating costs as a share of revenue, including purchases, wages, depreciation, utilities, rent, other costs and profit in 2024
  • Investment vs. share of economy

Data tables

  • Cash Flow & Debt Service Ratios (2014-2029)
  • Revenue per Employee (2014-2029)
  • Revenue per Enterprise (2014-2029)
  • Employees per Establishment (2014-2029)
  • Employees per Enterprise (2014-2029)
  • Average Wage (2014-2029)
  • Wages/Revenue (2014-2029)
  • Establishments per Enterprise (2014-2029)
  • IVA/Revenue (2014-2029)
  • Imports/Demand (2014-2029)
  • Exports/Revenue (2014-2029)

Detailed analysis

  • Trends in the cost component for industry operators and their impact on industry costs and profitability 

Key Statistics

Industry Data

Data Tables

Including values and annual change:

  • Revenue (2014-2029)
  • IVA (2014-2029)
  • Establishments (2014-2029)
  • Enterprises (2014-2029)
  • Employment (2014-2029)
  • Exports (2014-2029)
  • Imports (2014-2029)
  • Wages (2014-2029)

Top Questions Answered

Unlock comprehensive answers and precise data upon purchase. View purchase options.

What is the market size of the Long-Distance Bus & Coach Transport industry in Germany in 2024?

The market size of the Long-Distance Bus & Coach Transport industry in Germany is €2.3bn in 2024.

How many businesses are there in the Long-Distance Bus & Coach Transport in Germany industry in 2024?

There are 735 businesses in the Long-Distance Bus & Coach Transport industry in Germany, which has grown at a CAGR of 1.1 % between 2019 and 2024.

Has the Long-Distance Bus & Coach Transport industry in Germany grown or declined over the past 5 years?

The market size of the Long-Distance Bus & Coach Transport industry in Germany has been growing at a CAGR of 0.5 % between 2019 and 2024.

What is the forecast growth of the Long-Distance Bus & Coach Transport industry in Germany over the next 5 years?

Over the next five years, the Long-Distance Bus & Coach Transport industry in Germany is expected to grow.

What are the biggest companies in the Long-Distance Bus & Coach Transport market in Germany?

The biggest companies operating in the Long-Distance Bus & Coach Transport market in Germany are Flix SE, AutobusOberbayern GmbH and Anton Graf GmbH

What does the Long-Distance Bus & Coach Transport in Germany include?

Intercity transport and Long-distance buses are part of the Long-Distance Bus & Coach Transport industry.

Which companies have the highest market share in the Long-Distance Bus & Coach Transport in Germany?

The company holding the most market share in Germany is Flix SE.

How competitive is the Long-Distance Bus & Coach Transport industry in Germany?

The level of competition is moderate and increasing in the Long-Distance Bus & Coach Transport industry in Germany.

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View all industries in Germany

Methodology

How are IBISWorld reports created?

IBISWorld has been a leading provider of trusted industry research for over 50 years to the most successful companies worldwide. With offices in Australia, the United States, the United Kingdom, Germany and China, we are proud to have local teams of analysts that conduct research, data analysis and forecasting to produce data-driven industry reports.

Our analysts start with official, verified and publicly available sources of data to build the most accurate picture of each industry. Analysts then leverage their expertise and knowledge of the local markets to synthesize trends into digestible content for IBISWorld readers. Finally, each report is reviewed by one of IBISWorld’s editors, who provide quality assurance to ensure accuracy and readability.

IBISWorld relies on human-verified data and human-written analysis to compile each standard industry report. We do not use generative AI tools to write insights, although members can choose to leverage AI-based tools within the platform to generate additional analysis formats.

What data sources do IBISWorld analysts use?

Each industry report incorporates data and research from government databases, industry-specific sources, industry contacts, and our own proprietary database of statistics and analysis to provide balanced, independent and accurate insights.

Key data sources in Germany include:

  • German Federal Statistics Office (Destatis)
  • European Statistics Office (Eurostat)
  • United Nations Comtrade

Analysts also use industry specific sources to complement catch-all sources, although their perspective may focus on a particular organization or representative body, rather than a clear overview of all industry operations. However, when balanced against other perspectives, industry-specific sources provide insights into industry trends.

These sources include:

  • Industry and trade associations
  • Industry federations or regulators
  • Major industry players annual or quarterly filings

Finally, IBISWorld’s global data scientists maintain a proprietary database of macroeconomic and demand drivers, which our analysts use to help inform industry data and trends. They also maintain a database of statistics and analysis on thousands of industries, which has been built over our more than 50-year history and offers comprehensive insights into long-term trends.

How does IBISWorld forecast its data?

IBISWorld’s analysts and data scientists use the sources above to create forecasts for our proprietary datasets and industry statistics. Depending on the dataset, they may use regression analysis, multivariate analysis, time-series analysis or exponential smoothing techniques to project future data for the industry or driver. Additionally, analysts will leverage their local knowledge of industry operating and regulatory conditions to impart their best judgment on the forecast model.

IBISWorld prides itself on being a trusted, independent source of data, with over 50 years of experience building and maintaining rich datasets and forecasting tools. We are proud to be the keystone source of industry information for thousands of companies across the world.

Learn more about our methodology and data sourcing on the Help Center.