This report analyses the domestic price of timber. Data for this report is sourced from the Ministry for Primary Industries (Manatu Ahu Matua) and represents a weighted average price for all grades of timber. Prices are measured in nominal New Zealand dollars and presented in financial years.
IBISWorld expects the domestic price of timber to rise by 1.2% in 2024-25, to reach $139.2. Demand from timber wholesaling and forestry and logging is expected to rise marginally in 2023-24, due to greater demand stemming from positive economic conditions. This is expected to support demand for timber. However, the volume of wood harvested is expected to rise in the current year, thereby weighing on domestic timber prices. Nonetheless, the world price of wood pulp has increased during the year, which has flown through to domestic prices of both wood pulp and timber.
The world price of wood pulp has been volatile over the past few years, affecting the domestic price of timber in New Zealand. Rising demand for timber from China has supported upward pressure on timber prices over the period. Demand for New Zealand timber has been more resilient in the global market, limiting the decline in domestic prices over the course of the COVID-19 pandemic. This is mainly due to New Zealand’s Radiata Pine, which accounts for approximately 90% of New Zealand’s harvested forests according to Ministry of Primary Industries. Radiata Pine has a reputation for being high-quality making it highly sought after in both domestic and overseas markets. Additionally, the weak New Zealand dollar has supported export demand over the recent years, while making imported timber relatively more expensive in the domestic market. Over 75% of all wood harvested goes to the export market. This has put upward pressure on the domestic price of timber over the past few years.
IBISWorld forecasts the domestic price of timber to rise 0.9% in 20...