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Painters in the US - Market Research Report (2015-2030)

Christopher Lombardo Christopher Lombardo New York, United States Last Updated: June 2025 NAICS 23832

Revenue

$44.0bn

2025

$44.0bn

Past 5-Year Growth

Profit

$X.Xbn

Employees

402k

Businesses

244k

Wages

$XX.Xbn

Painters in the US industry analysis

Painting contractors in the US have experienced pronounced volatility in the last five years, with the industry’s performance tightly intertwined with the broader construction cycle. The early years of the current period were marked by strong residential growth and federal infrastructure investment, which provided ample opportunities for painting contractors even as demand in the nonresidential sector softened. However, this positive momentum was disrupted from 2022 onward as the dual impact of rising interest rates and supply chain disruptions cooled new construction, leading to intensified competition for fewer projects. Amid these headwinds, the industry’s inherently low capital requirements and ability to swiftly redeploy workforces helped painting businesses adapt more successfully than larger, less nimble general contractors. So, while revenue has been expanding at a CAGR of 0.8% over the past five years, it masks such fluctuation as the expected 0.3% decline in 2025, when revenue will total an estimated $44.0 billion.

Trends and Insights

  • Residential construction swings are reshaping the painting business. Painters have had to pivot rapidly as housing market cycles created bursts of opportunity and periods of intense competition. Those who can shift their focus and be agile in their service offerings are better equipped to ride out volatility.
  • Commercial and public-sector painting are on a growth streak, fueled by renovations and government-funded infrastructure projects launched during the current period. Painters with regulatory know-how and sustainable solutions have capitalized on the opportunity as offices, schools and hospitals get makeovers and public works have gotten underway.
  • The West Coast's large housing market offers lucrative work for painters, but there are drawbacks. High living costs and fewer cold weather-related jobs pose financial challenges despite the demand in affluent neighborhoods. To offset this, painters can take advantage of an extended outdoor painting season in many areas throughout the West that have a more mild climate.
  • Competition among painters is localized and not particularly intense. Building contractors often choose painters based on reputation, team size and pricing. These criteria guide decision-making in a relatively niche market.

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  • Market estimates from 2015-2030
  • Critical performance data and rankings
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Industry Statistics and Trends

Market size and recent performance (2015-2030)

Industry revenue has grown at a CAGR of 0.8 % over the past five years, to reach an estimated $44.0bn in 2025.

Trends and Insights

Residential construction volatility is dictating opportunities and competition for painting contractors

  • Fluctuations in the residential construction market over the past five years have been a primary indicator of business activity for painters, dictating both demand and the intensity of competition. A sharp rise in single-family housing starts during the low interest rate period of 2020 and 2021 provided a boost in contracts, particularly as nonresidential projects faltered. However, higher interest rates produced tighter lending conditions in 2022 and 2023 that reversed this dynamic, shrinking the flow of new projects and spurring a scramble among painting firms to secure limited opportunities.
  • Additional trends and insights available with purchase
Painters in the US
Revenue (2015-2030)
IBISWorld Logo Source: IBISWorld

Industry outlook (2025-2030)

Market size is projected to grow over the next five years.

Trends and Insights

Residential construction rebound set to power sustained growth for US painting contractors

  • Over the next five years, the painting industry is expected to experience notable, sustained growth, propelled by a likely resurgence in residential construction and renovation activity. Declining interest rates and gradually easing mortgage credit standards will reignite home building, especially in high-demand regions such as the Sun Belt and key suburban markets. The ongoing shortfall in housing supply – estimated at over three million homes nationally – combined with strong demographic drivers, including millennial household formation and net migration to growth markets, is set to invigorate new single-family and multifamily housing starts through the end of the decade.

Biggest companies in the Painters in the US

Company
Market Share (%)
2025
Revenue ($m)
2025
Profit ($m)
2025
Profit Margin (%)
2025
FD Thomas Inc.
31.5
2.6
8.3

To view the market share and analysis for all 1 top companies in this industry, view purchase options.

Products & Services Segmentation

Painters in the US
Products & Services
IBISWorld Logo Source: IBISWorld

Industry revenue is measured across several distinct product and services lines, including General residential painting, General nonresidential painting and Paper hanging, wall covering and removal. General residential painting is the largest segment of the Painters in the US.

Trends and Insights

Commercial renovations and federal funding accelerate growth in nonresidential painting contracts

  • Contractors prioritize more rigorous documentation, investing in compliance and safety training and outsourcing administrative or risk-management functions when efficient. By refining these practices, painting firms aim to better manage liabilities, sharpen cost control and minimize the likelihood of financial penalties or project delays. With the wide scope of costs included in this segment, ongoing review and process improvement in the other category is critical for ensuring operational resilience and protecting profitability across the industry.
  • More insights available in the full report

Table of Contents

About this industry

Industry definition

The Painters industry includes operators primarily engaged in interior or exterior painting and interior wall covering. The painting and wall covering work performed includes new work, additions, alterations, maintenance and repairs. Enterprises in this industry perform activities ranging from bridge and ship painting to removing paint and wall coverings.

What's included in this industry?

Products and services covered in the Painters industry in the United States include General residential painting, General nonresidential painting, Paper hanging, wall covering and removal , Logistics and Coatings and nonbuilding painting.

Companies

Companies covered in the Painters industry in the United States include FD Thomas Inc.

Purchase this report to view all 1 major companies in this industry.

Related Terms

Related terms covered in the Painters industry in the United States include do-it-yourself (diy), industrial coatings, thinner and timber cladding.

Industry Code

NAICS 2017

NAICS 23832 - Painters in the US

Performance

Get an indication of the industry's health through historical, current and forward-looking trends in the performance indicators that make or break businesses.

Analyst insights

Residential construction swings are reshaping the painting business. Painters have had to pivot rapidly as housing market cycles created bursts of opportunity and periods of ...

In this chapter (4)

  • Current Performance
  • Outlook
  • Volatility
  • Life Cycle

Key metrics

  • Annual Revenue, Recent Growth, Forecast, Revenue Volatility
  • Number of Employees, Recent Growth, Forecast, Employees per Business, Revenue per Employee
  • Number of Businesses, Recent Growth, Forecast, Employees per Business, Revenue per Business
  • Total Profit, Profit Margin, Profit per Business

Charts

  • Revenue, including historical (2015-2024) and forecast (2025-2030)
  • Employees, including historical (2015-2024) and forecast (2025-2030)
  • Businesses, including historical (2015-2024) and forecast (2025-2030)
  • Profit, including historical (2015-2025)
  • Industry Volatility vs. Revenue Growth
  • Industry Life Cycle

Detailed analysis

  • Trends in supply, demand and current events that are driving current industry performance
  • Expected trends, economic factors and ongoing events that drive the industry's outlook
  • Key success factors for businesses to overcome volatility
  • How contribution to GDP, industry saturation, innovation, consolidation, and technology and systems influence the industry's life cycle phase.

Products and Markets

Learn about an industry's products and services, markets and trends in international trade.

Analyst insight

Commercial and public-sector painting are on a growth streak, fueled by renovations and government-funded infrastructure projects launched during the current period. Painters...

In this chapter

  • Products & Services
  • Major Markets

Key metrics

  • Largest market segment and value in 2025
  • Product innovation level

Charts

  • Products & services segmentation in 2025
  • Major market segmentation in 2025

Detailed analysis

  • Trends impacting the recent performance of the industry's various segments
  • Innovations in the industry's product or service offering, specialization or delivery method
  • Key factors that successful businesses consider in their offerings
  • Buying segments and key trends influencing demand for industry products and services

Geographic Breakdown

Discover where business activity is most concentrated in an industry and the factors driving these trends to find opportunities and conduct regional benchmarking.

Analyst insights

The West Coast's large housing market offers lucrative work for painters, but there are drawbacks. High living costs and fewer cold weather-related jobs pose financial challe...

In this chapter (1)

  • Business Locations

Charts

  • Share of revenue, establishment, wages and employment in each state
  • Share of population compared to establishments in each region in 2025

Tables

  • Number and share of establishments in each state in 2025
  • Number and share of revenue each state accounts for in 2025
  • Number and share of wages each state accounts for in 2025
  • Number and share of employees in each state in 2025

Detailed analysis

  • Geographic spread of the industry across North America, and trends associated with changes in the business landscape
  • Key success factors for businesses to use location to their advantage

Competitive Forces

Get data and insights on what's driving competition in an industry and the challenges industry operators and new entrants may face, with analysis built around Porter's Five Forces framework.

Analyst insights

Competition among painters is localized and not particularly intense. Building contractors often choose painters based on reputation, team size and pricing. These criteria gu...

In this chapter (4)

  • Concentration
  • Barriers to Entry
  • Substitutes
  • Buyer & Supplier Analysis

Key metrics

  • Industry concentration level
  • Industry competition level and trend
  • Barriers to entry level and trend
  • Substitutes level and trend
  • Buyer power level and trend
  • Supplier power level and trend

Charts

  • Market share concentration among the top 4 suppliers from 2020-2025
  • Supply chain including upstream supplying industries and downstream buying industries, flow chart

Detailed analysis

  • Factors impacting the industry’s level of concentration, such as business distribution, new entrants, or merger and acquisition activity.
  • Key success factors for businesses to manage the competitive environment of the industry.
  • Challenges that potential industry entrants face such as legal, start-up costs, differentiation, labor/capital intensity and capital expenses.
  • Key success factors for potential entrants to overcome barriers to entry.
  • Competitive threats from potential substitutes for the industry’s own products and services.
  • Key success factors for how successful businesses can compete with substitutes.
  • Advantages that buyers have to keep favorable purchasing conditions.
  • Advantages that suppliers have to maintain favorable selling conditions.
  • Key success factors for how businesses can navigate buyer and supplier power.

Companies

Learn about the performance of the top companies in the industry.

Analyst insights

Fragmentation is high among painters, with no one company dominating the market. Because of its labor-intensive nature, economies of scale are limited, leading to minimal con...

In this chapter

  • Market Share Concentration
  • Companies
  • Company Spotlights

Charts

  • Industry market share by company in 2021 through 2025
  • Major companies in the industry, including market share, revenue, profit and profit margin in 2025
  • Overview of FD Thomas Inc.'s performance by revenue, market share and profit margin from 2019 through 2025

Detailed analysis

  • Description and key data for FD Thomas Inc., and factors influencing its performance in the industry

External Environment

Understand the demographic, economic and regulatory factors that shape how businesses in an industry perform.   

Analyst insights

The Painting Contractors Association substantially supports painters through healthcare plans, specialized training and networking events. These resources are designed to imp...

In this chapter

  • External Drivers
  • Regulation & Policy
  • Assistance

Key metrics

  • Regulation & policy level and trend
  • Assistance level and trend

Charts

  • Regulation & Policy historical data and forecast (2015-2030) 
  • Assistance historical data and forecast (2015-2030) 

Detailed analysis

  • Demographic and macroeconomic factors influencing the industry, including Regulation & Policy and Assistance
  • Major types of regulations, regulatory bodies, industry standards or specific regulations impacting requirements for industry operators
  • Key governmental and non-governmental groups or policies that may provide some relief for industry operators.

Financial Benchmarks

View average costs for industry operators and compare financial data against an industry's financial benchmarks over time. 

Analyst insights

Flexible pricing and smart service mixes are keeping painters profitable. By swiftly adjusting rates, passing on material costs and balancing residential and commercial jobs,...

In this chapter

  • Cost Structure
  • Financial Ratios
  • Key Ratios

Key metrics

  • Profit margin, and how it compares to the sector-wide margin
  • Average wages, and how it compares to the sector-wide average wage
  • Largest cost component as a percentage of revenue
  • Industry average ratios for days' receivables, industry coverage and debt-to-net-worth ratio

Charts

  • Average industry operating costs as a share of revenue, including purchases, wages, depreciation, utilities, rent, other costs and profit in 2025
  • Average sector operating costs as a share of revenue, including purchases, wages, depreciation, utilities, rent, other costs and profit in 2025
  • Investment vs. share of economy

Data tables

  • Industry Multiples (2018-2023)
  • Industry Tax Structure (2018-2023)
  • Income Statement (2018-2023)
  • Balance Sheet (2018-2023)
  • Liquidity Ratios (2018-2023)
  • Coverage Ratios (2018-2023)
  • Leverage Ratios  (2018-2023)
  • Operating Ratios (2018-2023)
  • Cash Flow & Debt Service Ratios (2015-2030)
  • Revenue per Employee (2015-2030)
  • Revenue per Enterprise (2015-2030)
  • Employees per Establishment (2015-2030)
  • Employees per Enterprise (2015-2030)
  • Average Wage (2015-2030)
  • Wages/Revenue (2015-2030)
  • Establishments per Enterprise (2015-2030)
  • IVA/Revenue (2015-2030)
  • Imports/Demand (2015-2030)
  • Exports/Revenue (2015-2030)

Detailed analysis

  • Trends in the cost component for industry operators and their impact on industry costs and profitability 

Key Statistics

Industry Data

Data Tables

Including values and annual change:

  • Revenue (2015-2030)
  • IVA (2015-2030)
  • Establishments (2015-2030)
  • Enterprises (2015-2030)
  • Employment (2015-2030)
  • Exports (2015-2030)
  • Imports (2015-2030)
  • Wages (2015-2030)

Top Questions Answered

Unlock comprehensive answers and precise data upon purchase. View purchase options.

What is the market size of the Painters industry in the United States in 2025?

The market size of the Painters industry in the United States is $44.0bn in 2025.

How many businesses are there in the Painters industry in the United States in 2025?

There are 244k businesses in the Painters industry in the United States, which has declined at a CAGR of 0.1 % between 2020 and 2025.

How may import tariffs affect the Painters industry in the United States?

The Painters industry in the United States is unlikely to be materially impacted by import tariffs with imports accounting for a low share of industry revenue.

How may export tariffs affect the Painters industry in the United States?

The Painters industry in the United States is unlikely to be materially impacted by export tariffs with exports accounting for a low share of industry revenue.

Has the Painters industry in the United States grown or declined over the past 5 years?

The market size of the Painters industry in the United States has been growing at a CAGR of 0.8 % between 2020 and 2025.

What is the forecast growth of the Painters industry in the United States over the next 5 years?

Over the next five years, the Painters industry in the United States is expected to grow.

What are the biggest companies in the Painters industry in the United States?

The biggest company operating in the Painters industry in the United States is FD Thomas Inc.

What does the Painters industry in the United States include?

General residential painting and General nonresidential painting are part of the Painters industry in the United States.

Which companies have the highest market share in the Painters industry in the United States?

The company holding the most market share in the Painters industry in the United States is FD Thomas Inc..

How competitive is the Painters industry in the United States?

The level of competition is moderate and steady in the Painters industry in the United States.

Related Industries

Widen your competitive advantage with related industries

View all industries in United States

Methodology

How are IBISWorld reports created?

IBISWorld has been a leading provider of trusted industry research for over 50 years to the most successful companies worldwide. With offices in Australia, the United States, the United Kingdom, Germany and China, we are proud to have local teams of analysts that conduct research, data analysis and forecasting to produce data-driven industry reports.

Our analysts start with official, verified and publicly available sources of data to build the most accurate picture of each industry. Analysts then leverage their expertise and knowledge of the local markets to synthesize trends into digestible content for IBISWorld readers. Finally, each report is reviewed by one of IBISWorld’s editors, who provide quality assurance to ensure accuracy and readability.

IBISWorld relies on human-verified data and human-written analysis to compile each standard industry report. We do not use generative AI tools to write insights, although members can choose to leverage AI-based tools within the platform to generate additional analysis formats.

What data sources do IBISWorld analysts use?

Each industry report incorporates data and research from government databases, industry-specific sources, industry contacts, and our own proprietary database of statistics and analysis to provide balanced, independent and accurate insights.

Key data sources in the US include: 

  • US Census Bureau
  • US Bureau of Labor Statistics
  • US International Trade Commission

Analysts also use industry specific sources to complement catch-all sources, although their perspective may focus on a particular organization or representative body, rather than a clear overview of all industry operations. However, when balanced against other perspectives, industry-specific sources provide insights into industry trends.

These sources include:

  • Industry and trade associations
  • Industry federations or regulators
  • Major industry players annual or quarterly filings

Finally, IBISWorld’s global data scientists maintain a proprietary database of macroeconomic and demand drivers, which our analysts use to help inform industry data and trends. They also maintain a database of statistics and analysis on thousands of industries, which has been built over our more than 50-year history and offers comprehensive insights into long-term trends.

How does IBISWorld forecast its data?

IBISWorld’s analysts and data scientists use the sources above to create forecasts for our proprietary datasets and industry statistics. Depending on the dataset, they may use regression analysis, multivariate analysis, time-series analysis or exponential smoothing techniques to project future data for the industry or driver. Additionally, analysts will leverage their local knowledge of industry operating and regulatory conditions to impart their best judgment on the forecast model.

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