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Dairy Farms in the US - Market Research Report (2015-2030)

Vaughan Immerwahr Vaughan Immerwahr New York, United States Last Updated: January 2025 NAICS 11212

Revenue

$52.1bn

2025

$52.1bn

Past 5-Year Growth

Profit

$X.Xbn

Employees

130k

Businesses

24,546

Wages

$X.Xbn

Dairy Farms in the US industry analysis

Revenue in the dairy industry has surged primarily due to strong demand and stable production. Though volatile, milk prices have grown overall since 2020. Producers have capitalized on consumer preferences for cheese and other high-fat, high-value dairy items, which continue to drive revenue upwards. Meanwhile, other consumer trends present a challenge as plant-based milk alternatives gain market share, posing a significant threat to traditional dairy milk markets. Government programs like Dairy Margin Coverage help buffer against price volatility, helping farmers navigate these competing pressures effectively. Industry revenue has ticked up at a CAGR of 1.2% to reach an expected $52.1 billion after an increase of 0.3% in 2025.

Trends and Insights

  • Volatile milk prices have squeezed profit. Milk prices have been on a rollercoaster, pushing farmers to adapt quickly to protect their bottom lines despite government programs aiming to stabilize profit.
  • Cheese and butter fatten industry wallets. Demand for high-fat dairy products is robust, with cheese leading the charge and premium and artisanal varieties capturing consumer interest.
  • Wisconsin is America's dairy titan. With its ideal climate and strong farming infrastructure, the Great Lakes region, especially Wisconsin, leads the US in dairy production.
  • Plant-based alternatives threaten long-term industry revenue. Consumers are increasingly turning to nondairy alternatives, especially younger generations, driven by health, sustainability and dietary preferences.

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  • Market estimates from 2015-2030
  • Critical performance data and rankings
  • Detailed analysis of competitive forces and the external environment
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Industry Statistics and Trends

Market size and recent performance (2015-2030)

Industry revenue has grown at a CAGR of 1.2 % over the past five years, to reach an estimated $52.1bn in 2025.

Trends and Insights

Volatile milk prices drive changes in revenue

  • Milk prices have been highly volatile over the current period. According to the USDA, the price of milk reached an all-time high of $27.2 per hundred pounds in May 2022, driven by increased demand, high feed costs and labor shortages. By July 2023, the price had dropped by 36.4% to $17.30 and has not since reached its previous peaks.
  • Additional trends and insights available with purchase
Dairy Farms in the US
Revenue (2015-2030)
IBISWorld Logo Source: IBISWorld

Industry outlook (2025-2030)

Market size is projected to grow over the next five years.

Trends and Insights

Domestic use, production and prices are set for strong growth through the current period

  • As of February 2025, the USDA projects domestic dairy disappearance to grow by 5.3% through 2030. This growth is slightly slower than milk production, which is expected to rise by 5.9% over the same period, driven by higher yields per cow and modest herd expansion.

Biggest companies in the Dairy Farms in the US

Company
Market Share (%)
2025
Revenue ($short_0)
2025
Profit ($short_0)
2025
Profit Margin (%)
2025

There are no companies that hold a large enough market share in the Dairy Farms in the US industry for IBISWorld to include in this product.

Products & Services Segmentation

Dairy Farms in the US
Products & Services
IBISWorld Logo Source: IBISWorld

Industry revenue is measured across several distinct product and services lines, including Milk for dairy products, Fluid milk and Milk for pasteurization. Milk for dairy products is the largest segment of the Dairy Farms in the US.

Trends and Insights

Rising global demand and premium product diversification drive revenue growth for dairy products

  • Strong international demand, as measured by the USDA, particularly from China, is boosting exports of cheese and butter, contributing to higher prices for dairy products.
  • More insights available in the full report

Table of Contents

About this industry

Industry definition

Operators in this industry primarily raise cattle for milk. The industry includes only the sale of raw milk and excludes the production of drinkable fluid milk and processed dairy products, such as butter, cheese and powdered milk. Those value-added activities are covered in the Dairy Product Production industry (IBISWorld report 31151).

What's included in this industry?

Dairy cattle farmingMilking dairy cattle

Companies

Purchase this report to view all major companies in this industry.

Related Terms

ORGANICCOOPERATIVEFARM GATE PRICERAW MILKPASTEURIZATIONCHECK-OFF DOLLARSHIGHLY PATHOGENIC AVIAN INFLUENZA (HPAI)

Industry Code

NAICS 2017

NAICS 11212 - Dairy Farms in the US

Performance

Get an indication of the industry's health through historical, current and forward-looking trends in the performance indicators that make or break businesses.

Analyst insights

Volatile milk prices have squeezed profit. Milk prices have been on a rollercoaster, pushing farmers to adapt quickly to protect their bottom lines despite government program...

In this chapter (4)

  • Current Performance
  • Outlook
  • Volatility
  • Life Cycle

Key metrics

  • Annual Revenue, Recent Growth, Forecast, Revenue Volatility
  • Number of Employees, Recent Growth, Forecast, Employees per Business, Revenue per Employee
  • Number of Businesses, Recent Growth, Forecast, Employees per Business, Revenue per Business
  • Total Profit, Profit Margin, Profit per Business

Charts

  • Revenue, including historical (2015-2024) and forecast (2025-2030)
  • Employees, including historical (2015-2024) and forecast (2025-2030)
  • Businesses, including historical (2015-2024) and forecast (2025-2030)
  • Profit, including historical (2015-2025)
  • Industry Volatility vs. Revenue Growth
  • Industry Life Cycle

Detailed analysis

  • Trends in supply, demand and current events that are driving current industry performance
  • Expected trends, economic factors and ongoing events that drive the industry's outlook
  • Key success factors for businesses to overcome volatility
  • How contribution to GDP, industry saturation, innovation, consolidation, and technology and systems influence the industry's life cycle phase.

Products and Markets

Learn about an industry's products and services, markets and trends in international trade.

Analyst insight

Cheese and butter fatten industry wallets. Demand for high-fat dairy products is robust, with cheese leading the charge and premium and artisanal varieties capturing consumer...

In this chapter

  • Products & Services
  • Major Markets

Key metrics

  • Largest market segment and value in 2025
  • Product innovation level

Charts

  • Products & services segmentation in 2025
  • Major market segmentation in 2025

Detailed analysis

  • Trends impacting the recent performance of the industry's various segments
  • Innovations in the industry's product or service offering, specialization or delivery method
  • Key factors that successful businesses consider in their offerings
  • Buying segments and key trends influencing demand for industry products and services

Geographic Breakdown

Discover where business activity is most concentrated in an industry and the factors driving these trends to find opportunities and conduct regional benchmarking.

Analyst insights

Wisconsin is America's dairy titan. With its ideal climate and strong farming infrastructure, the Great Lakes region, especially Wisconsin, leads the US in dairy production.

In this chapter (1)

  • Business Locations

Charts

  • Share of revenue, establishment, wages and employment in each state
  • Share of population compared to establishments in each region in 2025

Tables

  • Number and share of establishments in each state in 2025
  • Number and share of revenue each state accounts for in 2025
  • Number and share of wages each state accounts for in 2025
  • Number and share of employees in each state in 2025

Detailed analysis

  • Geographic spread of the industry across North America, and trends associated with changes in the business landscape
  • Key success factors for businesses to use location to their advantage

Competitive Forces

Get data and insights on what's driving competition in an industry and the challenges industry operators and new entrants may face, with analysis built around Porter's Five Forces framework.

Analyst insights

Plant-based alternatives threaten long-term industry revenue. Consumers are increasingly turning to nondairy alternatives, especially younger generations, driven by health, s...

In this chapter (4)

  • Concentration
  • Barriers to Entry
  • Substitutes
  • Buyer & Supplier Analysis

Key metrics

  • Industry concentration level
  • Industry competition level and trend
  • Barriers to entry level and trend
  • Substitutes level and trend
  • Buyer power level and trend
  • Supplier power level and trend

Charts

  • Market share concentration among the top 4 suppliers from 2020-2025
  • Supply chain including upstream supplying industries and downstream buying industries, flow chart

Detailed analysis

  • Factors impacting the industry’s level of concentration, such as business distribution, new entrants, or merger and acquisition activity.
  • Key success factors for businesses to manage the competitive environment of the industry.
  • Challenges that potential industry entrants face such as legal, start-up costs, differentiation, labor/capital intensity and capital expenses.
  • Key success factors for potential entrants to overcome barriers to entry.
  • Competitive threats from potential substitutes for the industry’s own products and services.
  • Key success factors for how successful businesses can compete with substitutes.
  • Advantages that buyers have to keep favorable purchasing conditions.
  • Advantages that suppliers have to maintain favorable selling conditions.
  • Key success factors for how businesses can navigate buyer and supplier power.

Companies

Learn about the performance of the top companies in the industry.

Analyst insights

The majority of dairy farms are small, family-owned operations. However, elevated costs and revenue volatility have pressured some smaller producers out of the market.

In this chapter

  • Market Share Concentration
  • Companies
  • Company Spotlights

Charts

  • Industry market share by company in 2021 through 2025
  • Major companies in the industry, including market share, revenue, profit and profit margin in 2025

Detailed analysis

    External Environment

    Understand the demographic, economic and regulatory factors that shape how businesses in an industry perform.   

    Analyst insights

    Stringent regulations ensure dairy farms operate safely and sustainably. Compliance with standards like the Clean Water Act and FDA labeling guidelines keeps farms environmen...

    In this chapter

    • External Drivers
    • Regulation & Policy
    • Assistance

    Key metrics

    • Regulation & policy level and trend
    • Assistance level and trend

    Charts

    • Regulation & Policy historical data and forecast (2015-2030) 
    • Assistance historical data and forecast (2015-2030) 

    Detailed analysis

    • Demographic and macroeconomic factors influencing the industry, including Regulation & Policy and Assistance
    • Major types of regulations, regulatory bodies, industry standards or specific regulations impacting requirements for industry operators
    • Key governmental and non-governmental groups or policies that may provide some relief for industry operators.

    Financial Benchmarks

    View average costs for industry operators and compare financial data against an industry's financial benchmarks over time. 

    Analyst insights

    The USDA’s Dairy Margin Coverage program helps keep profit steady. By protecting against milk price and feed cost fluctuations, the program helps prevent farm closures and ke...

    In this chapter

    • Cost Structure
    • Financial Ratios
    • Key Ratios

    Key metrics

    • Profit margin, and how it compares to the sector-wide margin
    • Average wages, and how it compares to the sector-wide average wage
    • Largest cost component as a percentage of revenue
    • Industry average ratios for days' receivables, industry coverage and debt-to-net-worth ratio

    Charts

    • Average industry operating costs as a share of revenue, including purchases, wages, depreciation, utilities, rent, other costs and profit in 2025
    • Average sector operating costs as a share of revenue, including purchases, wages, depreciation, utilities, rent, other costs and profit in 2025
    • Investment vs. share of economy

    Data tables

    • Industry Multiples (2018-2023)
    • Industry Tax Structure (2018-2023)
    • Income Statement (2018-2023)
    • Balance Sheet (2018-2023)
    • Liquidity Ratios (2018-2023)
    • Coverage Ratios (2018-2023)
    • Leverage Ratios  (2018-2023)
    • Operating Ratios (2018-2023)
    • Cash Flow & Debt Service Ratios (2015-2030)
    • Revenue per Employee (2015-2030)
    • Revenue per Enterprise (2015-2030)
    • Employees per Establishment (2015-2030)
    • Employees per Enterprise (2015-2030)
    • Average Wage (2015-2030)
    • Wages/Revenue (2015-2030)
    • Establishments per Enterprise (2015-2030)
    • IVA/Revenue (2015-2030)
    • Imports/Demand (2015-2030)
    • Exports/Revenue (2015-2030)

    Detailed analysis

    • Trends in the cost component for industry operators and their impact on industry costs and profitability 

    Key Statistics

    Industry Data

    Data Tables

    Including values and annual change:

    • Revenue (2015-2030)
    • IVA (2015-2030)
    • Establishments (2015-2030)
    • Enterprises (2015-2030)
    • Employment (2015-2030)
    • Exports (2015-2030)
    • Imports (2015-2030)
    • Wages (2015-2030)

    Top Questions Answered

    Unlock comprehensive answers and precise data upon purchase. View purchase options.

    What is the market size of the Dairy Farms industry in the United States in 2025?

    The market size of the Dairy Farms industry in the United States is $52.1bn in 2025.

    How many businesses are there in the Dairy Farms in the US industry in 2025?

    There are 24,546 businesses in the Dairy Farms industry in the United States, which has declined at a CAGR of 8.5 % between 2020 and 2025.

    How may import tariffs affect the Dairy Farms industry in the United States?

    The Dairy Farms industry in the United States is unlikely to be materially impacted by import tariffs with imports accounting for a low share of industry revenue.

    How may export tariffs affect the Dairy Farms industry in the United States?

    The Dairy Farms industry in the United States is unlikely to be materially impacted by export tariffs with exports accounting for a low share of industry revenue.

    Has the Dairy Farms industry in the United States grown or declined over the past 5 years?

    The market size of the Dairy Farms industry in the United States has been growing at a CAGR of 1.2 % between 2020 and 2025.

    What is the forecast growth of the Dairy Farms industry in the United States over the next 5 years?

    Over the next five years, the Dairy Farms industry in the United States is expected to grow.

    What does the Dairy Farms in the US in United States include?

    Dairy cattle farming and Milking dairy cattle are part of the Dairy Farms in the US industry.

    How competitive is the Dairy Farms industry in the United States?

    The level of competition is moderate and increasing in the Dairy Farms industry in the United States.

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    Methodology

    How are IBISWorld reports created?

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    Our analysts start with official, verified and publicly available sources of data to build the most accurate picture of each industry. Analysts then leverage their expertise and knowledge of the local markets to synthesize trends into digestible content for IBISWorld readers. Finally, each report is reviewed by one of IBISWorld’s editors, who provide quality assurance to ensure accuracy and readability.

    IBISWorld relies on human-verified data and human-written analysis to compile each standard industry report. We do not use generative AI tools to write insights, although members can choose to leverage AI-based tools within the platform to generate additional analysis formats.

    What data sources do IBISWorld analysts use?

    Each industry report incorporates data and research from government databases, industry-specific sources, industry contacts, and our own proprietary database of statistics and analysis to provide balanced, independent and accurate insights.

    Key data sources in the US include: 

    • US Census Bureau
    • US Bureau of Labor Statistics
    • US International Trade Commission

    Analysts also use industry specific sources to complement catch-all sources, although their perspective may focus on a particular organization or representative body, rather than a clear overview of all industry operations. However, when balanced against other perspectives, industry-specific sources provide insights into industry trends.

    These sources include:

    • Industry and trade associations
    • Industry federations or regulators
    • Major industry players annual or quarterly filings

    Finally, IBISWorld’s global data scientists maintain a proprietary database of macroeconomic and demand drivers, which our analysts use to help inform industry data and trends. They also maintain a database of statistics and analysis on thousands of industries, which has been built over our more than 50-year history and offers comprehensive insights into long-term trends.

    How does IBISWorld forecast its data?

    IBISWorld’s analysts and data scientists use the sources above to create forecasts for our proprietary datasets and industry statistics. Depending on the dataset, they may use regression analysis, multivariate analysis, time-series analysis or exponential smoothing techniques to project future data for the industry or driver. Additionally, analysts will leverage their local knowledge of industry operating and regulatory conditions to impart their best judgment on the forecast model.

    IBISWorld prides itself on being a trusted, independent source of data, with over 50 years of experience building and maintaining rich datasets and forecasting tools. We are proud to be the keystone source of industry information for thousands of companies across the world.

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