Domestic trips by US residents

In 2025, the number of domestic trips by US residents is estimated at 866.4 million, marking a modest 1.7% increase from the previous year. This growth follows a period of volatility, reflecting stabilization in demand as interest rates begin to decline. Despite elevated costs and lingering effects of higher rates, consumer confidence appears to be returning. Improvements in macroeconomic conditions, such as increased employment and disposable income, contribute to a cautiously positive environment for domestic travel. Technological advancements continue lowering barriers to air travel, supporting recovery. However, growth is tapering compared to substantial rebounds seen in the immediate post-pandemic period.

From 2020 to 2025, domestic travel experienced significant fluctuations. The COVID-19 pandemic caused a 58.4% decline in trips in 2020. A sharp rebound occurred in 2021, with a 79.5% increase as travel restrictions lifted. Momentum continued in 2022, with trips rising 23.9% due to pent-up demand and robust spending spurred by pandemic savings and stimulus measures. Growth persisted into 2023, slowing to 9.2% as the market neared pre-pandemic levels. Federal Reserve rate increases restricted discretionary spending, and higher transportation and accommodation costs impacted travel affordability. In 2024, growth decelerated to 3.6%, indicating sector normalization and macroeconomic constraints.

Wider macro trends include persistent inflation, fluctuating oil prices, and changing consumer preferences. Elevated inflation affects travel costs, while oil price variability impacts airline ticket affordability. Online travel services and fare aggregators support the sector by increasing price transparency, while digital meeting technologies moderate business travel demand. Demographic shifts, such as an aging population with disposable income and increased Millennial travel engagement, also shape trends.

By the end of 2020-2025, domestic travel has recovered from pandemic lows and stabilized above pre-pandemic levels, though growth remains moderate due to macroeconomic constraints.