Business Environment Profiles - United States
Published: 28 July 2025
Manufacturing capacity utilization
77 %
1.0 %
Manufacturing capacity utilization (MCU) is calculated as the ratio of actual manufacturing output to potential full capacity output. The higher the utilization rate, the less slack there is at plants to take on additional work. Consequently, high utilization rates are typically viewed as a leading indicator for rising inflation and higher long-term interest rates. The data for this report is sourced from the Federal Reserve. The values presented in this report are annual figures, derived from equally weighted monthly averages.
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In 2025, manufacturing capacity utilization is estimated at 76.6%, a 1.0 percentage point increase from the previous year. This growth is driven by recovery from pandemic disruptions, stabilized global supply chains, and continued investment in domestic manufacturing. Sustained demand for durable goods and advanced automation technologies also support utilization. Despite inflationary pressures and labor shortages, manufacturers have maintained production output relative to capacity.
From 2020 to 2025, capacity utilization increased by 3.8 percentage points, rebounding from a pandemic low of 72.8% in 2020. The sharp recovery in 2021, reaching 77.3%, was due to supply chain normalization and resurgent global demand. Industry 4.0 technologies, like AI and IoT, enabled flexible and efficient production. Geopolitical tensions and supply chain concerns led to reshoring, boosting high-value segments like semiconductors and renewable energy components. Government policies, such as the US CHIPS Act, incentivized domestic manufacturing investments.
Inflation and labor market challenges persisted but were offset by strong demand and improved inventory management. Commodity price volatility and energy fluctuations were mitigated by technological adoption and efficiency gains. Infrastructure investment and cleaner energy manufacturing also reinforced capacity utilization improvements. These macroeconomic and technology-driven trends were crucial to the gains from 2020 to 2025.
In 2026, capacity utilization is projected to rise to 77.3%, supported by technological adoption ...
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